(Updates ahead of Wall Street open, adds detail and quotes on
Argentina market support)
*
Yen rallies, Japanese stocks drop as coalition breaks up
*
Red hot rally in world stocks has paused this week
*
Gold hovers s $4,000 an ounce, silver above $50
*
China expands restrictions on sales of rare earths
By Marc Jones
LONDON, Oct 10 (Reuters) - Breathless markets had little
time for a break on Friday as record-setting stocks dipped, gold
shone bright still and the dollar headed for its best week of
the year despite more drama for the Japanese yen and in Europe.
With the ink still drying on a historic ceasefire between Israel
and Hamas, the political developments were still coming thick
and fast - and continuing to move markets.
Wall Street was set to tick higher despite the ongoing
government shutdown there, but Japan's yen has been
jolted out of its recent slide by the Komeito party quitting its
coalition with the Liberal Democratic Party.
That raises questions over the route to the premiership for
new LDP leader Sanae Takaichi, whose pledges of fiscal stimulus
and calls for the Bank of Japan to hold off on interest rate
hikes had sapped the yen and lifted the Nikkei 6% until
a 1% drop on Friday.
"If Takaichi doesn't become prime minister, or at least
can't govern effectively, you don't really have much of a
'Takaichi trade'," said Chris Scicluna, head of research at
Daiwa Capital Markets Europe.
Major European bourses also saw a low-key end to the week
as traders waited to see whether France's President
Emmanuel Macron can find a way out of his country's political
crisis.
He is expected to name his sixth prime minister in less than two
years later, with that person facing the vexing mission of
steering a belt-tightening budget through a deeply fragmented
parliament.
The pan-European STOXX 600 was steady at 571
points, heading for a third straight weekly gain. The CAC 40 in
Paris though is down on the week and the euro is
set for its worst seven days since July.
The yield gap between 10-year French government bonds and
uber-safe German Bunds - a market gauge of the
risk premium investors demand to hold French debt - was also
back at 80 bps having surged to 88 bps earlier in the week.
"At the moment the market is happy," Daiwa's Scicluna said,
referring to the prospect of the French crisis easing.
"Next year could well be another very different situation
though," he added, referring to the possibility of it all
falling apart again. "Spreads could break out to the highest
levels since Mario Draghi's 'Whatever it takes' speech," he
said, speaking about the former ECB President's 2012 pledge that
eased the debt crisis.
RARE EARTH CURBS
U.S. stocks were set to open fractionally higher with consumer
sentiment data due shortly and the all-important third-quarter
corporate earnings season due to kick off next week.
The U.S. dollar index, which measures the
greenback's strength against a basket of six currencies, was
nudging lower due to the yen's bounce on the day, but it
remained firmly on course for a 1.6% weekly rise, its best since
November.
Latin America's markets were set to remain squarely in focus too
after the U.S. confirmed it would provide budget
chainsaw-wielding Javier Milei's Argentine government a $20
billion swap line to try to quash renewed currency market
problems there.
"It's unclear what the U.S. will demand in exchange,"
William Jackson, Chief Emerging Markets Economist at Capital
Economics said.
Chinese stocks had tumbled 1.4% overnight meanwhile,
after Beijing expanded its rare earths export controls on
Thursday, tightening control over the sector ahead of talks
between Presidents Donald Trump and Xi Jinping.
Beijing also ramped up enforcement of its chip import
restrictions, aiming to reduce domestic technology companies'
dependence on U.S. products such as Nvidia's artificial
intelligence processors, the Financial Times reported on
Friday. Reuters could not immediately verify the report.
With the U.S. government still in shutdown mode, the yield
on the benchmark 10-year Treasury bond fell to 4.09%
compared with its U.S. close of 4.14%.
Traders expect the Federal Reserve will cut U.S. interest
rates again on October 29, with Fed funds futures pricing a
94.6% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut, according to the
CME Group's FedWatch tool.
ALL THAT GLITTERS
Gold edged back up to $4,000-an-ounce in Europe, having
seen a brief bout of selling after topping the threshold for the
first time ever this week.
Silver, which has risen even more than gold this
year, was also back above the $50 mark that it breached for the
first time on Thursday.
Multiple factors aided the rally, including geopolitical
risks, robust central bank buying, exchange-traded fund inflows,
expectations of U.S. rate cuts, and trade-related uncertainties.
In energy markets, Brent crude slid 0.7% to $64.72 per
barrel, after Israel's government ratified a ceasefire with the
Palestinian militant group Hamas on Friday, clearing the way to
suspend hostilities in Gaza within 24 hours and free Israeli
hostages held there in days.
(Additional reporting by Gregor Stuart Hunter in Singapore;
Editing by Susan Fenton)