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Gold extends run of record highs
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World stocks just below all-time high
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Japanese yen makes all the running in FX markets
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Five years since COVID first tore into markets
By Marc Jones
LONDON, Feb 20 (Reuters) - Traders were marking five
years since COVID first rocked world markets and one month since
Donald Trump's return to the White House started shaking up the
global order on Thursday - and there was plenty to keep tabs on.
Record-high gold was nearing $3,000 per ounce on concerns
Trump will unleash a global trade war, the yen stomped higher on
bets of more BOJ interest rate hikes, while Ukraine's bonds
tumbled on worries about its future.
The dollar had been weakened overnight by news the Federal
Reserve's policymakers had discussed slowing or pausing the
drawdown of its bloated balance sheet and stocks hit the brakes
as the tariff warnings offset Wall Street's latest record high.
Saxo Bank's John Hardy said the day's big move was the yen's
pacey rise. It hit a more than two-month high against the dollar
and briefly dropped below 150. It was also up more
than 1% versus the euro and set for its biggest
daily jump since late January.
"I'm just wondering whether this a bit of a lightbulb moment
for traders," Hardy said.
Key inflation data is due in the coming days, "there is a
geopolitical angle there too perhaps in that they don't want to
get attention from the Trump administration for their
exceedingly low policy (interest) rate.
European stocks edged up in morning trading, as upbeat
corporate updates in the industrial and insurance sectors offset
declines in energy and healthcare stocks.
Germany's DAX ticked up 0.6% as data there showed
that producer prices rose less than expected in January.
Europe's biggest economy is also bracing for a snap election
at the weekend, following the collapse of Chancellor Olaf
Scholz's three-way coalition, with analysts anticipating a
Conservative-led two-party coalition.
DICTATOR TRADE
U.S. futures pointed to a more muted open later with both
the S&P 500 and Nasdaq pointing 0.3% lower.
Trump's latest tariff warning on Wednesday focused on
pharmaceuticals, semiconductor chips and wood. He also intends
to hit car imports as soon as April 2.
That along with other threats has exacerbated fears of a
broad trade war, leaving investors nervous.
Ukraine's government bonds took another tumble too after
Trump had caused widespread alarm on Wednesday when he called
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy a "dictator" and that he
needed to grab a ceasefire deal quickly or risk having no
country left.
"Uncertainty about the Fed's policy and Trump's tariffs will
continue to rattle markets," said Vasu Menon, managing director
of investment strategy at OCBC Bank in Singapore.
"Investors must come to terms with the fact that
volatility will be more elevated this year"
In Asia, Japan's Nikkei slid 1.5% on the strong yen,
while a blistering rally in Chinese technology shares
took a breather.
Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index slipped 1.3%, having
touched a four-month high earlier this week boosted by tech
stocks in the wake of Chinese startup DeepSeek's breakthrough.
Gold prices showed no signs of slowing though. They rose to
a fresh record high of $2,947 an ounce, reaching a new peak for
the tenth time this year. The precious metal is now up
12% in 2025 after rising 27% last year, its best performance in
over a decade.
In the oil markets Brent crude futures were little changed
at $76 a barrel while wheat prices extended their gains
to a fifth session, underpinned by worries that cold weather in
Russia, Ukraine and the U.S. could crimp supply.