LONDON, April 4 (Reuters) - Asian spot liquefied natural
gas (LNG) prices remained at their lowest level in nearly six
months on Friday as U.S. President Trump's "liberation day"
tariffs pulled global markets down amid fears of a global
recession.
The average LNG price for May delivery into north-east Asia
remained unchanged from last week at $13.00 per million
British thermal units (mmBtu), the lowest level since October
11, industry sources estimated.
"The risk of a global trade war and economic slowdown is
pulling down global stock markets and fears of slower growth
will impact energy prices too," said Alex Froley, senior LNG
analyst at data intelligence firm ICIS.
Countries around the world threatened to retaliate against
Trump's sweeping tariffs.
China announced additional tariffs of 34% on U.S. goods on
Friday, the most serious escalation in a worsening trade war
between Beijing and Washington.
"This is obviously not the best environment to get
confronted by unseen import tariffs up to 34% for China, and
24-26% for India, South Korea and Japan," said Klaas Dozeman,
market analyst at Brainchild Commodity Intelligence.
"The widely shared opinion is that this will harm global
trade and industrial production, reducing the demand for LNG
even further," he said.
Earlier tariffs have already had an impact on U.S. LNG flows
to China, with no cargoes arriving in China since February 6,
ICIS's Froley said.
In Europe, Dutch and British gas prices plunged to their
lowest level in over six months on Friday afternoon in line with
sharp declines in oil and stock markets.
"Hedge funds with exposure to both commodities and equities
sold gas heavily on Thursday to de-risk their portfolios, with
oil and equities also falling," said Martin Senior, head of LNG
pricing at commodities pricing agency Argus.
"Stop losses also kicked in when the TTF (Dutch title
transfer facility) fell below certain price thresholds,
exacerbating losses," he added.
The European Union, which is facing 20% tariffs, is
preparing for countermeasures in response to Trump's duties, but
analysts said Europe has no choice but to keep importing U.S.
LNG, ruling out that retaliatory tariffs would cover the
commodity.
An indirect effect of the tariffs was a weakening of the
dollar against other currencies, meaning U.S. LNG cargoes are
quickly becoming cheaper compared to other origins, increasing
the incentive for Europe to buy more U.S. LNG to maximize
storage filling in the coming months, Dozeman said.
S&P Global Commodity Insights assessed its daily North West
Europe LNG Marker (NWM) price benchmark for cargoes delivered in
May on an ex-ship (DES) basis at $12.071/mmBtu on April 3, a
$0.75/mmBtu discount to the May gas price at the Dutch TTF hub.
Argus assessed the price for May delivery at $12.07/mmBtu,
while Spark Commodities assessed the April price at
$12.044/mmBtu.
The U.S. arbitrage to north-east Asia via the Cape of Good
Hope continues to incentivise U.S. cargoes to deliver to Europe,
said Spark Commodities analyst Qasim Afghan.
In the LNG freight market, Atlantic rates dropped for the
second week to $23,500/day on Friday, while Pacific rates rose
to $26,750/day, Afghan added.