Dec 5 (Reuters) - Asian stocks were under selling
pressure from foreign investors for a second consecutive month
in November amid worries over potential U.S. tariff hikes on
regional exports under the incoming Donald Trump administration
next year.
Foreigners net withdrew $15.88 billion out of equity markets
in Taiwan, South Korea, India, Thailand, Indonesia, Vietnam and
the Philippines, following a net $15.38 billion worth of sales
in the prior month, LSEG data showed. It was their largest
monthly net selling since June 2022.
"What we have seen in November is a reaction to Trump 2.0,
where there are concerns that U.S. President-elect Donald
Trump's protectionist stance could mean a follow-through of his
tariff threats, which may negatively impact Asian export-driven
economies," said Yeap Jun Rong, market strategist at IG.
Last month, Trump pledged to impose significant tariffs on the
United States' three largest trading partners, including China,
a move that could impact regional exports heavily reliant on
strong supply chains with China.
Chetan Seth, an analyst at Nomura, highlighted a bleak
outlook for Asian stocks into 2025, attributing the pessimism to
factors including impending tariffs, trade tensions, a
potentially stronger USD, rising bond yields and less supportive
monetary policies, compounded by China's delay in implementing
anticipated stimulus measures.
Taiwanese stocks witnessed net foreign outflows of $8.41
billion in November, the biggest since April 2022. South Korean
stocks also lost a hefty $3.21 billion, marking a fourth
successive month of capital outflows.
A surge in the dollar after Trump's victory in the Nov. 5
election also dampened investor sentiment, as the dollar index
reached 108.09, its highest level since Nov. 11, 2022.
Foreign investors net sold Indian stocks worth $2.56 billion
after about $11.2 billion worth of net selling in October.
Indonesian, Vietnam and Thai shares also saw foreign
outflows worth $1.06 billion, $461 million and $395 million,
respectively.
"Looking ahead, risk remains with the tail scenarios where
trade disruptions spill over more broadly," said Minyue Liu, a
senior investment specialist at BNP Paribas Asset Management.
"However, positive factors such as US Fed's and ECB's rate
cut, earnings recovery and resilient performance across EM
assets, plus reasonable valuation, should help to attract some
foreign flows into the Asia ex-Japan and the broader Emerging
Market universe."