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GRAPHIC-Global market reaction to two years of war in Gaza
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GRAPHIC-Global market reaction to two years of war in Gaza
Oct 9, 2025 7:14 AM

LONDON, Oct 9 (Reuters) - Below are five charts showing

the volatile response of global financial markets to the war

between Israel and Hamas over the last two years.

1/TAKING STOCK

Israeli stocks and those of the world's big weapons makers

have surged since the October 7, 2023 attacks.

Defence stocks were already on the rise due to Russia's

invasion of Ukraine and rising risks elsewhere, but they

accelerated sharply as the conflict in Gaza grew and are now

more than 120% higher than they were when Hamas attacked Israel.

MSCI's Israel stocks index is up more than

80% too - roughly 30 percentage points more than the main global

stocks benchmarks - the shekel is up

against the dollar following the greenback's slump this year,

while some of Israel's banks have kept up with the defence

rally.

2/CREDIT RATING CUTS

The cost of the war meant Israel suffered its first ever credit

rating downgrades in 2024, starting with Moody's four months

after the Hamas attacks, followed by S&P in April and Fitch in

August that year.

At the depths of conflict, credit default swap markets -

where investors go to hedge risk - even priced the possibility

that Israel could lose its investment grade status and get

downgraded to the 'junk' category of sovereign debt.

Those worries have receded this year, though, and CDS prices

currently point to no further downgrades.

3/ECONOMIC DAMAGE

Israel's $580 billion economy was also slowed drastically by

the war. Last October the country's finance ministry estimated

it had already cost it around 14 billion shekels ($3.75

billion), although that will be far higher now.

Economic growth ground to a near standstill last year but it is

expected to be a more robust 2.5% this year according to the

country's central bank, and could be more than 5% next year if a

"peace dividend" materialises.

4/OIL AND GAS

Oil rose above $90 a barrel and European natural gas

prices saw their biggest jump in six months in the

immediate aftermath of the 2023 Hamas attacks, but the market

quickly shrugged it off and Brent dropped back to $75 by the end

of that year.

Escalating tensions with Iran then pushed oil higher again in

early 2024. That reversed too when it turned into little more

than a skirmish although there was a more significant, albeit

also brief, spike this year when U.S. forces struck Iran's three

main nuclear sites.

5/GOLD RUSH

Safe-haven gold rose nearly 3% after the Hamas attacks. It

was its biggest weekly jump in six months, and gold hasn't

looked back since.

Though there are plenty of additional reasons driving it now

too, the fact is that move marked the start of a remarkable 120%

rally that has just pushed bullion past $4,000 a troy ounce for

the first time.

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