Oct 6 (Reuters) - Gold prices surged to record highs
above $3,900 per ounce on Monday on expectations of further U.S.
rate cuts, and as investors fleeing economic and political
uncertainty piled into the safe-haven precious metal.
Spot gold hit an all-time peak of $3,958.57 an ounce and has
climbed 48% so far this year, adding to last year's gain of 27%.
"Investors are navigating everything from shifting Fed
policy to global political developments and gold is playing its
traditional role as a store of value," said Joseph Cavatoni,
senior market strategist at the World Gold Council.
The Federal Reserve cut interest rates for the first time
this year in September, with markets pricing in two more cuts
this year.
Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding
assets such as gold, which pays no interest or dividends, while
also weakening the dollar.
Conflict in the Middle East, the Russia-Ukraine war and
concerns around the Fed's independence have also driven
safe-haven demand for gold.
Adding to the uncertainty, France's new Prime Minister Sebastien
Lecornu and his government resigned on Monday, hours after
taking office, while the U.S. government shutdown entered its
sixth day.
Momentum for gold's rally to records has also come from
central bank buying and rising inflows into physical gold
exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
"As long as uncertainty levels are high, ETF flows should
continue," said Michael Haigh, global head of commodities
research at Societe Generale.
Global gold ETF demand rose to 587.8 metric tons between
January and September, compared to a 6.8-ton outflow for the
full-year 2024, according to the WGC.
SILVER'S BULLISH TACK
Silver climbed to $48.55 an ounce, its highest since May
2011.
Its rally is supported by the same factors as gold, as well
as strong industrial demand and a tight spot market.
"Silver is a bit of a catch-up trade as it has
been underperforming gold for several quarters prior to
mid-2025," said Aakash Doshi, global head of gold strategy at
State Street Investment Management.
The metal's inclusion on a draft list of U.S. critical minerals
has sparked speculation over potential tariffs, drawing close
attention from the market.
Silver is on track for a fifth year of structural market
deficit, which is expected to amount to 117.6 million troy
ounces in 2025, according to the Silver Institute.