MUMBAI, July 10 (Reuters) - Indian government bond
yields ended marginally down on Wednesday, as traders added
positions ahead of the critical economic data that could likely
guide the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate trajectory this
year.
The benchmark 10-year yield ended at 6.9754%,
following its previous close at 6.9883%.
"Some foreign demand lifted bond prices today, and
underlying sentiment continues to remain bullish," said VRC
Reddy, treasury head at Karur Vysya Bank.
"The upcoming inflation data will be a crucial trigger."
Foreign holding of the benchmark bond has risen above 50
billion rupees ($598.84 million) or 5% of the total outstanding,
while foreign banks have bought over 130 billion rupees of bonds
so far in July, data showed.
U.S. retail inflation data is due after Indian market hours
on Thursday. A Reuters poll estimates the reading at 0.1%
month-on-month, while consumer prices for 12 months to June are
expected to have risen 3.1%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell, in prepared remarks to U.S.
Congress, acknowledged inflation pressures have eased, but did
not give any strong signals about the timing of interest rate
cuts.
The comments pushed U.S. yields higher on Tuesday, their
first rise in five sessions. The 10-year yield had risen above
the 4.30% mark briefly but eased in Asian hours on Wednesday.
Even though the Fed has not provided strong indications, the
market has assumed that the rate easing cycle will begin in this
quarter. The odds for a September action are hovering around 75%
while bets of 50 bps cuts in 2024 remain intact, according to
CME FedWatch Tool.
Traders also await the consumer inflation data for India,
due after market hours on Friday.
A Reuters poll predicted that retail inflation edged up in
June, snapping five months of declines, largely because of a
jump in vegetable prices. The poll of 54 economists forecast a
4.80% year-on-year rise in retail inflation, up from 4.75% in
May.
($1 = 83.4950 Indian rupees)
(Reporting by Dharamraj Dhutia; Editing by Janane Venkatraman
)