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Tokyo core CPI rises 1.6% yr/yr in April vs f'cast +2.2%
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Index excluding fresh food, fuel rises 1.8% in April
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Service inflation slows in April, may affect BOJ decision
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Data highlights uncertainty on BOJ's rate hike timing,
pace
(Adds detail on service prices)
By Leika Kihara
TOKYO, April 26 (Reuters) - Core inflation in Japan's
capital slowed much more than expected in April and fell below
the central bank's 2% target, data showed on Friday,
complicating its decision on how soon to raise interest rates.
The reading comes just hours ahead of the conclusion of the
Bank of Japan's two-day policy meeting, where the board is set
to keep interest rates steady and produce fresh quarterly
inflation projections through early 2027.
The core consumer price index (CPI) in Tokyo, a leading
indicator of nationwide figures, increased 1.6% in April from a
year earlier, slowing from a 2.4% gain in March. It was much
lower than a median market forecast for a 2.2% rise.
Services prices rose 1.6% in April from a year earlier,
slowing from 2.7% in March, due largely to the Tokyo
metropolitan government's decision to make some tuition free,
the data showed.
A separate index that excludes the effect of both fresh food
and fuel costs, closely watched by the BOJ as a broader price
trend indicator, also showed inflation slowing to 1.8% in April
from 2.9% in March. It was the slowest pace of increase since
September 2022, when the index rose 1.7% year-on-year.
While core inflation is still above the central bank's 2%
target, the slowdown highlights uncertainty on whether
consumption and wage pressure will strengthen enough to keep
price growth durably around that level.
The BOJ has said its decision to end negative rates last
month was driven by signs that robust demand and the prospect of
higher wages were prodding firms to keep hiking prices for both
goods and services.
Governor Kazuo Ueda has said developments in service
inflation would be among key factors that could determine the
timing of the next rate hike, as they would show whether firms
are starting to pass on labour costs to households.
The weak yen complicates the BOJ's rate hike path. While it
helps exports and pushes up inflation, the hit to consumption
could cool the economy and discourage firms from passing on the
higher costs to households.