A plurality of investors expect benchmark Brent oil to trade
between $80 and $90 a barrel by the end of this year, according
to a BofA survey of fund managers published on Tuesday, down
from its current level just under $100.
Investor sentiment was also at its most bearish in 10
months, but few are outright expecting a recession, according to
BofA's April 2-9 survey of 193 investors with a combined $563
billion assets under management.
** Investor oil forecasts fairly spilt however, 34%
expect Brent crude futures between $80 and $90, 28% see
it at $70-$80 and 22% at $90-100. Just 6% see it above $100.
** The oil benchmark came close $120 on two occasions in
March, up from around $70 before the war.
** A net 36% of investors expect a weaker global economy; a
month ago, 7% expected a stronger economy.
** 52% see a "soft landing" as most likely outcome for the
global economy, and just 9% see a "hard landing"
** Investors are a net 13% overweight equities, the least
since July 2025, and down from 37% in March.
* 58% of investors still expect the Federal Reserve to cut
rates in the next 12 months. 46% expect the ECB to hike rates in
the next 12 months.