*
Shekel strengthens 4.5% against dollar, biggest daily gain
since
2008
*
Tel Aviv 125 index rises 1.9% as war with Iran escalates
*
Israel's bonds and credit default swaps gain, but recent
losses
remain
*
Some investors see favourable post-conflict landscape for
Israeli assets
(Adds details, comments throughout)
By Steven Scheer and Karin Strohecker
JERUSALEM/LONDON, June 16 (Reuters) - Israel's shekel
jumped sharply and stocks and bonds gained on Monday as
investors began to shape a more favourable risk assessment for
country's assets in the face of an escalating conflict with
Iran.
The shekel strengthened more than 4.5% against the
dollar in its biggest daily gain since at least 2008, snapping a
four day losing streak and clawing back hefty losses suffered
last week since rumours of an Israeli attack on Iran
intensified. Israel launched its operation early on Friday.
The main Israeli share indices also gained, with the broad
Tel Aviv 125 index up 1.9% in afternoon trade,
extending Sunday's gains of some 0.5% following a weekend of
punishing Israeli attacks on Iranian nuclear facilities,
ballistic missile factories and military commanders that were
met with Iranian strikes against Israel.
"The reaction of the local markets ... perhaps reflects the
assessment that in certain scenarios this war may be a catalyst
for a new status quo in the region," said Bank Hapoalim Chief
Economist Victor Bahar.
Israeli officials have said the conflict will take time and
won't end until the Iranian nuclear threat is removed after
launching its biggest-ever military strike against its
longstanding enemy on Friday. Tehran denies it wants to build
nuclear weapons.
But tensions in the region have been on the rise since the war
in Gaza erupted 20 months ago after Hamas-led and Iranian backed
militants stormed into southern Israel. Fighting with Tehran's
proxies such as Hezbollah in Lebanon and the Houthis in Yemen
has intensified.
"Most of these (proxies) have been destroyed or weakened,
but Iran's nuclear weapon program has remained a long-term
existential threat for Israel," said Leader Capital Markets
Chief Economist Jonathan Katz.
"Delaying this program significantly - and maybe a credible
commitment from Iran to forgo high level nuclear enrichment -
will reduce Israel's geopolitical risk premium markedly."
Israel's international bonds as well as its credit default
swaps - a proxy for insurance against risk of default - also saw
gains on Monday but have yet to offset recent losses.
The 2120 maturity added more than 1.3 cents to bid at 66.88
cents on the dollar, Tradeweb data showed - still more than 1
cents below levels seen last Wednesday when reports of a
potential imminent attack emerged.
Israel's economic performance and the macroeconomic
pressures it faces have been choppy in recent years.
Data on Sunday showed the inflation rate eased more than
expected to 3.1%. Though the central bank is expected to remain
cautious and hold interest rates - possibly until early 2026.
Derivatives market is now pricing in a rate cut in mid-2026.
Earlier on Monday, first-quarter economic growth was revised
up to an annualised 3.7% from 3.4%.