TOKYO, Sept 8 (Reuters) - Japan's stocks surged, the yen
weakened and bonds stood firm on Monday after Prime Minister
Shigeru Ishiba's resignation stoked speculation that his
successor will raise government spending.
The Nikkei 225 index gained 1.7% to 43,740.15, while
the broader Topix rose 1% to a record high. The yen
softened 0.7% to 148.46 versus the U.S. dollar.
The benchmark 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB)
yield rose 0.5 basis point (bp) to 1.575%. The five-year yield
slid 0.5 bp to 1.1%.
Yields on super-long JGBs hovered near record highs due to
global concerns about fiscal deficits and as pressure mounted on
Ishiba from within his Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), while the
Nikkei recently slipped from last month's record high.
Among top contenders in the LDP leadership race is Sanae
Takaichi, a devotee of "Abenomics" policies of Shinzo Abe -
Japan's long-time leader and former PM, who presided over
massive stimulus and unprecedented monetary easing.
"Sanae Takaichi, who is considered to have a strong
expansionary fiscal bias, could be perceived as more positive
for Japanese equities," Morgan Stanley and MUFG Securities
analysts, including Takeshi Yamaguchi, wrote.
"The risk of her favouring excessively dovish monetary
policy appears lower than last year."
Meanwhile, Takaichi has largely been seen as bad news for
Japan's already stressed bond market.
"She's known to favour stimulus measures and is viewed as
wanting the Bank of Japan (BOJ) to take a cautious stance on
policy, so that wouldn't be a great outcome for bond markets,"
Skye Masters, head of markets research at National Australia
Bank, said in a podcast.
Ishiba's relatively conservative fiscal stance has been seen
as a positive for the JGB market, where yields are relatively
low globally, though Japan's massive debt pile and widening
fiscal deficits continue to raise concerns.
The country's outstanding debt stands at nearly 250% of its
gross domestic product (GDP), the highest among developed
economies. Budget requests for the next fiscal hit a record for
the third straight year, the finance ministry said last week.
The JGB market was dealt a blow in mid July, when Ishiba's
coalition suffered a considerable defeat in upper house polls.
Outsider parties, campaigning on tax cuts and increased
spending, gained seats, and speculation swirled for weeks about
pressure on Ishiba to step down.
That all came to a head on Sunday, with Ishiba, saying he
must take responsibility for election losses and instructing the
LDP to hold an emergency leadership vote.
The Nikkei share index hit a record high of 43,876.42 on
August 19, riding a wave of optimism for corporate governance
reforms and investment in artificial intelligence.
Analysts in a Reuters poll see the index easing off that
level to 42,000 by year end.