TOKYO, May 13 (Reuters) - Companies on Japan's TOPIX
index with March year-ends are set to post nearly 6% net
profit growth this business year, driven by electronics and
banking firms benefiting from AI-linked demand and rising
interest rates, an SMBC Nikko Securities tally showed on
Wednesday.
* The findings point to continued resilience in Japanese
equities, underpinned by artificial intelligence-driven
investment and a corporate governance push. The Nikkei share
average hit a string of record highs, closing above
63,000 for the first time on Wednesday despite the Middle East
conflict.
* The tally estimates combined net profit for TOPIX
companies for the year ending March 2027 at 60.092 trillion
yen ($381.03 billion), up 5.9% from the previous year. The
Japanese securities firm said profits could even rise by double
digits.
* The estimate is based on earnings announced through
Tuesday by 536 firms, representing a 48% disclosure rate.
* Hikaru Yasuda, chief equity strategist at SMBC Nikko
Securities, said corporate margins continue to improve.
* "As inflation becomes more entrenched, companies have been
implementing price increases, and I believe the underlying
driver is that their earnings power has been strengthening."
* Just under 10% of non-financial companies with March
fiscal year-ends have refrained from issuing earnings guidance
due to the Middle East war, compared with an average of about 7%
that withheld forecasts after COVID.
* Although the U.S.-Iran conflict forced many companies to
adopt conservative estimates, their forecasts could be revised
upward if the situation improves, Yasuda said.
* "I don't think there is necessarily a need to be overly
pessimistic or assume that earnings forecasts for fiscal 2026
will continue to be revised downward on a sustained basis," he
added.
* Corporate earnings are among the factors the Bank of Japan
will scrutinise as it decides whether to raise interest rates in
June or hold off until later.
($1 = 157.7100 yen)