TOKYO, Oct 31 (Reuters) - Japan's 10-year government
bond (JGB) yield rose in early trade on Thursday as investors
awaited the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) policy decision on interest
rates later in the day.
The 10-year JGB yield rose 1 basis point (bp)
to 0.96%.
While the policy will most likely remain unchanged, the
market is now cautious that the BOJ may amend the wording of its
reference to future policy, said Katsutoshi Inadome, senior
strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Asset Management.
"BOJ officials have said the central bank is in no rush to
raise rates, but BOJ Governor (Kazuo) Ueda may take out those
words today in his statement, which weighs on bond prices,"
Inadome said.
The BOJ ended negative interest rates in March and raised
its short-term policy target to 0.25% in July. But central bank
officials have since signalled a cautious and slow approach to
shifting policy.
It is expected to hold short-term interest rates steady on
Thursday and political uncertainty may force it to stay pat for
the rest of 2024, some analysts say.
"Depending on how a new coalition will be formed, the BOJ
wants to secure an opportunity to raise rates as early as
December by removing the 'no rush' from the statement," said
Inadome.
The Japanese ruling coalition's failure to retain a majority
in Sunday's lower house elections may force the Liberal
Democratic Party to court smaller opposition parties such as the
Democratic Party for the People (DPP) in order to stay in power.
Yuichiro Tamaki, head of the DPP, has said the BOJ should
avoid changing its ultra-loose monetary policy for now.
The 30-year bond yield fell 1 bp to 2.21%.
Other maturities were untraded as of 0112 GMT.
The yield curve has been shifting along with
expectations for the pace of policy tightening. The spread
between 2-year and 30-year JGBs went from 150
basis points in January to 192 in July. It is currently at 176.
In interviews and news conferences over the past two weeks,
Japan's major life insurers have outlined investment strategy
updates for the fiscal year ending in March 2025. A majority of
them expect to continue purchasing JGBs into the second half of
the fiscal year.