TOKYO, Feb 17 (Reuters) - Shorter-duration Japanese
government bond (JGB) yields rose on Monday, with the 10-year
yield hitting a 15-year high after data revealed that the
economy expanded more than expected in the fourth quarter,
boosting bets for an interest rate hike.
The 10-year JGB yield rose 2.5 basis points
(bps) to 1.375% for the first time since April 2010, while
10-year JGB futures fell 0.35 points to 139.3 yen.
The five-year yield climbed 4.5 bps to a
17-year high of 1.05%.
Japan's gross domestic product expanded at an annualised
clip of 2.8% in the October-December quarter, data showed on
Monday, beating market estimates of a 1.0% gain, on improved
business spending and a surprise increase in consumption.
The data supports bets that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) will
continue to raise interest rates as it sets about normalising
super-easy monetary policy.
Markets have factored in 37 bps of rate hikes for the rest
of the year, with another 25-bp increase fully priced in by
September.
While market players still appear to anticipate the BOJ's
tightening cycle will top out around 1%, analysts at Morgan
Stanley MUFG Securities see a further upward repricing of
short-term policy rate expectations for now as policymakers
signal a potentially higher neutral rate.
Worries about weakness in the yen as U.S.-Japan rate
differentials look set to persist and a move higher in mid- to
long-term inflation expectations have also added to the mix.
"We thus see ample scope for an upward repricing of the
BOJ's near-term policy rate trajectory until U.S. growth
prospects start to become a greater concern," Koichi Sugisaki,
Japan macro strategist at Morgan Stanley MUFG, said in a
research note.
On Monday, the two-year JGB yield, which
closely tracks monetary policy expectations, ticked up 1.5 bps
to 0.805%.
The 20-year JGB yield was flat at 2.005%,
while the 30-year JGB yield fell 0.5 bp to
2.305%.