TOKYO, Oct 29 (Reuters) - Japan's major life insurers
plan to focus on swapping low-yield domestic bonds for
higher-return issues in the second half of the fiscal year
through March 2026, offering little hope for a rebound in demand
for super-long debt.
Interviews with 10 domestic life insurers, with assets under
management totalling nearly 300 trillion yen ($2 trillion) as of
March, showed that larger insurers intend to centre their yen
bond investments on portfolio rebalancing, with overall holdings
expected to shrink.
Japanese government bond (JGB) yields began to surge in late
May, particularly on the longer end of the curve, as diminishing
demand among life insurers and other traditional buyers led to
poor results at debt auctions.
The JGB market has also been undercut by a gradual reduction in
purchases by the Bank of Japan, as well as concerns over
potential fiscal deterioration.
Life insurers previously were heavy buyers of super-long
JGBs in order to meet regulatory asset requirements related to
the policies they sold. But the insurers have largely met those
asset thresholds, diminishing their appetite to add to the
holdings.
The sharp rise in long-term yields earlier in the year prompted
insurers to take measures to reduce impairment risks and improve
the quality of their portfolios by replacing older, lower-yield
bonds.
Meanwhile, many insurers also plan to trim domestic equity
positions, which have risen to record valuations as the Nikkei
share index topped the 50,000 mark for the first time this week.
For instance, Nippon Life reported unrealized gains of 9.5
trillion yen ($63 billion) on domestic stocks through September.
"Stock prices are quite high, so we are selling or rotating out
of overvalued names," said Akira Tsuzuki, executive officer of
the financial planning division for Nippon Life, adding: "The
realized gains from equities make it easier to absorb losses
from swapping out bonds".
Many insurers expect the 30-year JGB yield, currently around
3.05%, to finish the year at roughly the same level.
"Yields are at levels that cover liability costs, but we are
not in a hurry to buy," a Dai-ichi Life ( DCNSF ) executive said.
Meiji Yasuda Life is also in wait-and-see mode, citing caution
over the fiscal policy of new Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi and
U.S. inflation.
($1 = 150.78 yen)