*
Incoming premier viewed as monetary policy hawk, despite
recent
toned-down comments
*
Yen surged after his victory on Friday, when stock and
bond
markets had closed
*
Banks were only winners among Tokyo bourse's 33 industry
groups
on Monday
(Updates prices as of 0600 GMT)
By Kevin Buckland
TOKYO, Sept 30 (Reuters) - Japan's benchmark Nikkei
share average plummeted on Monday in reaction to a sharply
stronger yen after perceived monetary policy hawk Shigeru Ishiba
won a leadership contest to become the country's prime minister.
The Nikkei ended the day down 4.8% at 37,919.55,
while the broader Topix index shed 3.5%.
Japanese government bond yields jumped, with those on
benchmark 10-year notes rising 4.5 basis points
(bps) to 0.85% and two-year yields climbing 7 bps
to 0.385%.
A critic of the Bank of Japan's extraordinary stimulus of
the previous decade, Ishiba beat monetary-policy dove Sanae
Takaichi in a close contest on Friday that was decided after
share and bond markets had already closed. He is due to become
premier on Tuesday.
Ishiba's current stance is less clear, as he told national
broadcaster NHK at the weekend that "monetary policy must remain
accommodative as a trend given current economic conditions."
At the beginning of August, he had said the BOJ "is on the
right policy track" after the central bank's exit from negative
interest-rate policy in March and its follow-up rate hike in
July.
The picture is complicated further by Ishiba's reported
choice of finance minister, Katsunobu Kato, who in May called
for continued normalisation of monetary policy.
"This leadership change adds a layer of uncertainty" for the
yen, said Charu Chanana, head of FX strategy at Saxo.
"There is a fair chance that Ishiba-san's hawkish comments
could feed into BOJ's policy thinking," she said. "We still
expect caution on further policy hikes ... but wage-price spiral
suggests that the BOJ has room to normalize policy further."
The yen surged about 1.9% on Friday before
advancing a further 0.3% on Monday to be at 141.78 as of 0600
GMT.
A stronger currency crimps revenue at the country's many
heavyweight exporters, and also makes Japanese shares more
expensive for overseas investors.
Ishiba's backing of higher corporate and investment-income
taxes poses another hurdle for equities.
However, the incoming premier is unlikely to want to stir
much controversy initially as he leads his Liberal Democratic
Party (LDP) into a snap election on Oct. 27.
"The financial tax issue is one that worries investors,
but at this juncture I would say the Ishiba cabinet will focus
on winning the snap election," said Shoki Omori, chief Japan
desk strategist at Mizuho Securities.
"I don't think they want to show a hawkish position as of
now, as the LDP's approval rate is very low."
Automakers tumbled on Monday, with Toyota Motor ( TM )
sliding 7.6% and Honda ( HMC ) dropping 7%
Semiconductor-sector shares sank, led by chip-making
equipment giant Tokyo Electron's ( TOELF ) nearly 8% retreat.
The banking sector was the lone gainer among the
Tokyo Stock Exchange's 33 industry groupings, advancing 1.85%.
Lenders have been the biggest beneficiary of expectations for
monetary policy normalisation.
Of the Nikkei's 225 component stocks, 212 fell and 13 rose.
However, Nomura Securities strategist Kazuo Kamitani said
the bulk of the selling may have already run its course.
"To be honest, I was thinking that there would have been
nothing strange about a much bigger decline in the Nikkei
today," but the psychological 38,000 mark is emerging as a kind
of floor, Kamitani said.
"My impression is there is a lot of support there."