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Japan's central bank keeps policy steady, but in split
vote
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BOJ announces start of ETF, J-REIT sales
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Nikkei falls from record high; JGB yields hit 17-year
peaks
(Updates throughout after BOJ governor's press conference)
By Kevin Buckland and Rocky Swift
TOKYO, Sept 19 (Reuters) - Japan's Nikkei share average
flipped to a loss on Friday, while bond yields jumped to 17-year
peaks after the Bank of Japan (BOJ) kept interest rates steady
as expected, but in a split decision with two of the nine board
members voting for a hike.
The central bank also announced it will begin selling its
holdings of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and Japanese
real-estate investment trusts (J-REITS), amassed over a decade
of massive stimulus.
"It came as a surprise," Hirofumi Suzuki, chief currency
strategist at SMBC, said about the BOJ's decision.
"With the start of ETF sales and two dissenting votes
against leaving policy unchanged, ... the outcome was hawkish
despite expectations for a straightforward hold."
The Japanese yen initially strengthened following the
central bank's policy announcement, but had given up most of
those gains as BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda struck a balanced tone at
his press conference, which started just as the stock market
closed.
The Nikkei ended the session down 0.6% at 45,045.81,
notably reclaiming the psychological 45,000 mark. It had tumbled
as much as 1.8% in the immediate aftermath of the policy
announcement.
In early trading, the Nikkei had risen as much as 1.2% to a
record high of 45,852.75, driven by a surge in chip-sector
stocks following an overnight rally in U.S. peers.
"The timing of the ETF sale came as something of a surprise,
occurring just as Japanese equity markets were hitting fresh
highs and investor caution was rising," said Shinichiro
Kobayashi, principal economist at Mitsubishi UFJ Research and
Consulting.
Speaking at his press conference, Ueda noted that it
would take the BOJ more than 100 years to dispose of its ETF and
REIT holdings at the pace decided on Friday. He was also
sanguine on the impact so far from tariffs on both the Japanese
and U.S. economies.
The yen strengthened as much as 0.5% to 147.20 per dollar
following the initial policy announcement, but pared
that to be almost flat at 147.92 by 0800 GMT.
Traders now lay 59% odds on a quarter-point rate hike
over the two remaining BOJ meetings this year, up from about 50%
odds a week ago, according to LSEG data.
The two-year JGB yield, which is extremely
sensitive to monetary policy expectations, jumped 2.5 basis
points (bps) to 0.905%, the highest since June 2008.
The five-year yield leapt 4.5 bps to 1.2%,
a level not seen since October 2008.
The 10-year yield added 4.5 bps to 1.64%,
matching the more than 17-year high from earlier this month.
However, the 20-year yield nudged up just 0.5
bp to 2.63%, and the 30-year yield sank as much
as 4.5 bps to a one-month low of 3.145%.
"Initial market reactions suggest that short- and
medium-term yields may now be more susceptible to upward
pressure, as investors translate the reduction of risk-asset
purchases into heightened expectations of future rate
increases," said Shoki Omori, chief desk strategist at Mizuho
Securities.
"By contrast, yields at the long- and super-long end of
the curve should remain more insulated, their behaviour being
driven primarily by changes in the term premium."
Japan's 30-year yield climbed to a record-high of 3.285%
earlier this month amid worries about the country's finances as
fiscally hawkish Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba announced he
would step aside following an election drubbing by opposition
parties campaigning on consumption tax cuts.
Sanae Takaichi, among the frontrunners to replace Ishiba
and seen by markets as a fiscal dove,
said
at a press conference on Friday that she never denied the
need for restoring fiscal health, and that she would not
immediately pursue consumption tax cuts.