TOKYO, July 14 (Reuters) - Yields on Japanese government
bonds (JGBs) surged on Monday, toward historic levels last seen
in May, as concerns grew that an upcoming election could pave
the way for increased fiscal spending.
Prices for long-dated debt continued their decline from last
week, driving yields sharply higher, as prospects dimmed that
Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba's ruling coalition will retain its
majority in the upper house after a vote on July 20.
A potential defeat could empower opposition parties that
have pledged in their campaign platforms to cut or abolish the
sales tax. Mounting fiscal concerns and soft demand at debt
auctions triggered a surge in super-long yields to record levels
in late May. In response, the Ministry of Finance curtailed its
issuance super-long JGBs, starting with sales this month.
"Broadening of the ruling coalition would quite likely
increase the probability of a reduction in the consumption tax
rate," Yusuke Matsuo, senior market economist for Mizuho
Securities, wrote in a note to clients.
That in turn would put "upward pressure on super-long
interest rates in a climate where global fiscal risk has already
been very much on the minds of bond market participants."
The 10-year JGB yield rose 7 basis points
(bps) to 1.57%, its highest since May 22. The 20-year yield
rose 7 bps to 2.57%, closing in on the 2.6% level
seen on May 23 that was the highest since October 2000.
The 30-year yield was up 7.5 basis points to
3.115%, nearing the all-time high of 3.185% hit on May 21.