LONDON, Dec 9 (Reuters) - Lebanon's international dollar
bonds rallied on Monday after rebels in neighbouring Syria
ousted President Bashar al-Assad, fuelled by expectations the
events could weaken Lebanese armed group Hezbollah and bring
change to the country.
The 2031 bond gained the most, up 0.75 cents to bid at 11.59
cents on the dollar, its highest level since April 2022,
Tradeweb data showed.
The bid price remains deeply distressed, but the bonds
have
rallied
at several points since Israel began bombing Lebanon, which
investors attributed to hope that a weakened Hezbollah could
break political deadlock in the defaulted nation and enable
progress toward sustainable fiscal policies.
In Syria, rebels seized the capital Damascus in a lightening
advance and Assad fled to Russia following 13 years of civil war
and more than 50 years of his family's brutal rule.
Analysts said the latest events meant Iran had lost a key
component of its arc of influence in the region, as well as its
overland link with Hezbollah in Lebanon.
"This undermines Hezbollah further, which, in the near term,
means lower security risk for Israel and a potentially more
market-friendly government in Lebanon," said Hasnain Malik at
Tellimer.
Israel's international bonds also strengthened a touch,
gaining as much as 0.4 cents, with the 2043 bond being bid at
85.56 cents in the dollar, Tradeweb data showed.