LONDON, Aug 1 (Reuters) - Thirty-year euro zone
government bond yields rose on Friday, swept higher in a
sell-off in global longer-dated debt, as investors grow
increasingly convinced that interest rates are unlikely to fall
much further.
U.S. President Donald Trump's tariffs, while lower than
initially threatened for most countries, are widely expected to
keep inflation in the euro zone, and elsewhere, from receding
much further. Data in the meantime points to the economy holding
up, albeit at a slower pace.
German thirty-year yields rose 4 basis points in
early trading to 3.22% on Friday, echoing a similar move in
30-year Treasuries, while Italian 30-year yields
rose almost 7 bps to 4.464% and French 30-year
yields were up 4 bps at 4.177%.
Trump followed through on his threat to impose steep tariffs
on exports from dozens of trading partners including Canada,
Brazil, India and Taiwan, ahead of a Friday trade deal deadline.
"The long-end in Bunds continues to lack clear direction
despite abundant data points, as larger surprises remain absent.
The front-end on the other hand weakened, as the figures add
conviction to the ECB's base case scenario, leaving curves
flatter as markets are increasingly pricing a terminal rate
closer to 2%," analysts at Commerzbank said.
Data on Friday from the euro zone includes final surveys of
manufacturing activity for July and the all-important U.S.
monthly jobs report, which could be instrumental in setting
expectations for the near-term direction of interest rates.
Shorter-dated debt got some respite, with two-year Schatz
yields up just 1 bp at 1.956%, narrowly below this
week's four-month high of 1.965%.
Traders have been gradually eroding their bets on another
rate cut this year from the European Central Bank, while the
view among economists is starting to point to the next move
being a hike at some point in 2026.
Benchmark 10-year Bunds meanwhile, were up 3.2
bps at 2.724%, having ended July up nearly 10%, their third
straight monthly increase and the largest since March's 34-bp
gain.
(Reporting by Amanda Cooper; Editing by Ros Russell)