financetom
World
financetom
/
World
/
Morning bid: A deep breath before 'Liberation Day'
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Morning bid: A deep breath before 'Liberation Day'
Mar 31, 2025 9:50 PM

A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Kevin Buckland

The deep breath that global markets are taking in the countdown to Donald Trump's "Liberation Day" tariff announcement looks like it will continue into the European session, with futures there pointing higher.

Wall Street's relatively minor respite was magnified in Asia. Some markets such as Hong Kong, Taiwan and South Korea surged back 1% or more from steep declines on Monday.

Nerves are definitely still a bit frayed though, with supreme safe haven gold marking an all-time peak for a fourth straight session.

To be clear, nothing has really changed: We still are no wiser as to what Trump is set to announce on Wednesday. Any expectations that there might be room for trade partners to negotiate apparently came undone with the U.S. president's statement late on Sunday that essentially every country will be slapped with reciprocal levies.

Late on Monday, the White House released an encyclopaedic list of foreign countries' policies and regulations it regards as trade barriers.

Trump says he's willing to accept higher consumer prices at home to reset the playing field for global trade, even with a recent hot CPI reading stoking market fears of stagflation.

Upping the ante on a potential tariff-triggered slowdown, Goldman raised its estimate on the odds of a recession to 35%, and predicted three Fed rate cuts this year.

There's a lot of information about the state of the U.S. economy this week, particularly the job market, with the JOLTS report later today, the ADP report a day later, and monthly payrolls figures on Friday, when Fed Chair Jay Powell is also giving a speech on the economic outlook.

In Europe, ECB President Christine Lagarde and fellow board member Philip Lane speak separately at a conference in Frankfurt today, when we get euro-area data on consumer prices, the manufacturing PMI and the jobless rate.

Britain will also have the manufacturing PMI, and the Bank of England's Megan Greene gives a keynote speech to the Royal Economic Society in London.

Meanwhile, French far-right politician Marine Le Pen plans to appeal as soon as possible an embezzlement conviction that bars her from running in the 2027 presidential election.

A front-runner to take over from President Emmanuel Macron, Le Pen maintains her innocence and says the ruling was politicised.

Le Pen's five-year public office ban actually cannot be suspended by appeal, although she retains her parliamentary seat until her term ends.

Key developments that could influence markets on Tuesday:

-Euro-area manufacturing PMI, CPI, unemployment rate

-ECB's Lagarde, Lane speak

-UK manufacturing PMI

-BoE's Greene speaks

-US JOLTS report

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Stocks Mostly Up Pre-Bell as Investors Await More Earnings; Asia Churns, Europe Down
Stocks Mostly Up Pre-Bell as Investors Await More Earnings; Asia Churns, Europe Down
Jul 18, 2024
07:31 AM EDT, 07/18/2024 (MT Newswires) -- The benchmark US stock measures were mostly pointing higher before Thursday's opening bell as traders brace for another round of corporate earnings. Standard & Poor's 500 edged up 0.1% and the Nasdaq added 0.4% in premarket trading, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.2%. Asian exchanges were mixed to lower while European...
ECB Outlook, Steady Tech Lifts European Bourses Midday
ECB Outlook, Steady Tech Lifts European Bourses Midday
Jul 18, 2024
07:38 AM EDT, 07/18/2024 (MT Newswires) -- European bourses tracked moderately higher midday Thursday as traders awaited the pending result of a European Central Bank policy session and as tech issues broadly steadied. Bank, food, and oil stocks led gains. Investors also eyed Wall Street futures signaling green, but mixed closes overnight on Asian exchanges. Seasonally adjusted construction activity fell...
CANADA STOCKS-TSX futures flat as dip in crude prices offset metal gains
CANADA STOCKS-TSX futures flat as dip in crude prices offset metal gains
Jul 18, 2024
July 18 (Reuters) - Futures linked to Canada's main stock index were subdued on Thursday as weak crude prices countered gains in metal prices. The S&P/TSX 60 futures were down 0.04% as of 06:30 a.m. ET (1030 GMT). Meanwhile, Wall Street futures rose as Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSMC) posted an upbeat forecast and results, a day after a selloff in...
Energy leads European shares higher; ECB rate verdict on tap
Energy leads European shares higher; ECB rate verdict on tap
Jul 18, 2024
* STOXX 600 up 0.3% * ECB interest rate decision due at 1215 GMT * Husqvarna slides on Q2 sales drop (Updated at 0838 GMT) By Shristi Achar A July 18 (Reuters) - European shares rose on Thursday as gains in energy overshadowed declines in technology stocks, although major focus was on the European Central Bank's interest rate decision, due...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved