(The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a
columnist for Reuters.)
By Mike Dolan
LONDON, July 10 (Reuters) - What matters in U.S. and
global markets today
By Mike Dolan, Editor-At-Large, Finance and Markets
If in doubt, latch on to artificial intelligence.
Making AI-chip monster Nvidia ( NVDA ) the first company to be
valued at $4 trillion briefly on Wednesday, investors parsing
another wave of tariff hikes and confusion seem keener to look
through the fog and bank on long-term themes regardless.
Today's Market Minute
* U.S. President Donald Trump launched his global tariff assault
into overdrive on Wednesday, announcing a new 50% tariff on U.S.
copper imports and a 50% duty on goods from Brazil, both to
start on August 1.
* Nvidia ( NVDA ) briefly reached a market capitalization of $4 trillion
on Wednesday, making it the first company in the world to reach
the milestone and solidifying its position as one of Wall
Street's most-favored stocks.
* U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio will meet with Southeast
Asian counterparts on Thursday in his first visit to Asia since
taking office, and will try to reassure them the region is a
priority for Washington, even as Trump targets it in his global
tariff offensive.
* The planned 50% tariff on copper imports may turn out to be
the biggest own goal of Trump's ongoing trade war with the rest
of the world, claims ROI columnist Clyde Russell.
* Trump's signature budget bill slashed funding for refilling
U.S. emergency oil reserves, violating his previous vow to fill
them "right to the top". This about-face raises the question of
whether the U.S. still needs the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at
all, writes ROI columnist Ron Bousso.
$4 trillion Nvidia ( NVDA ) obscures new tariffs
The second-quarter corporate earnings season kicks off in
earnest next week, with consensus forecasts for annual S&P 500
profit growth just under 6% - half what was expected at the
start of the year and less than half of the first quarter pace.
And yet, the S&P 500 is back stalking record highs -
up about 6% for the year so far - with the Nasdaq
hitting another new peak on Wednesday. All that's still lagging
other world markets of course, especially
dollar-denominated gains for Germany's record-high DAX
of almost 40% for 2025 and almost 30% for euro stocks.
But mid-year calm remained the order of the day. The VIX
"fear index" hit a five-month low on Wednesday, while the
bond market equivalent is near its lowest for the
year.
This week's postponement of the July 9 U.S. tariff deadline
to August 1, along with pressure to get more deals done by then,
has seen many investors revert to the immediate post-election
thinking on trade policy - that deals, negotiations and shifting
sands, rather than hard deadlines, will dominate the trade
agenda.
In the latest development, U.S. and European Union negotiators
moved closer to a deal.
EU trade chief Maros Sefcovic said on Wednesday the European
Commission had made good progress on a framework agreement with
Washington, and a deal could be reached within days. Negotiators
were discussing potential measures to protect the EU auto
industry, according to EU officials and auto industry sources.
More worryingly, U.S. President Donald Trump announced a new 50%
tariff on copper imports and a 50% duty on goods from Brazil,
both effective August 1 - with the former a considerable
inflation concern over time given the breadth of goods with
copper inputs.
U.S. copper prices surged more than 10% to record highs on
Wednesday, while overseas copper prices came under pressure
today.
But for all that inflation angst and recent debt supply jitters,
Treasury demand remains surprisingly brisk, with a strong
10-year note auction yesterday helping drag yields lower as
Federal Reserve meeting minutes showed splits about the timing
of the next interest rate cut.
While most Fed officials seem keen to delay until the tariff
horizon and its inflation impact become clearer, the minutes
showed two - presumed to be board members Michelle Bowman and
Christopher Waller - prepared to vote for an earlier cut.
Waller speaks in Dallas later on Thursday and some $22
billion of 30-year bonds go under the hammer too. The Fed meets
again later this month.
Fed futures expect a near 80% chance of a cut in September
and two cuts are fully priced by the end of the year.
The U.S. dollar index slipped back after a week of
tentative gains, with the euro - still up 13% for the
year - retaining a perch above $1.17.
Wall St stock index futures dialed back a touch early on
Thursday, but world stocks pushed higher from Asia to Europe.
Chart of the day:
President Donald Trump ramped up global tariff assault into
overdrive on Wednesday, announcing a new 50% tariff on U.S.
copper imports and a 50% duty on goods from Brazil, both to
start on August 1. Trump said he issued August 1 tariff notices
to seven minor trading partners that exported only $15 billion
in goods to the U.S. last year: a 20% tariff on goods from the
Philippines, 30% on goods from Sri Lanka, Algeria, Iraq, and
Libya, and 25% on Brunei and Moldova.
The latest letters add to 14 others issued earlier in the
week, including 25% tariffs for powerhouse U.S. suppliers South
Korea and Japan, to take effect on Aug 1. U.S. research group
Yale Budget Lab estimated consumers face an effective U.S.
tariff rate of 17.6%, up from 15.8% previously and the highest
in nine decades. However, U.S. and EU negotiators pushed closer
to a trade deal to ease tariffs on the biggest bilateral U.S.-
trading partner bloc.
Today's events to watch
* U.S. weekly jobless claims (8:30 AM EDT)
* Federal Reserve Board Governor Christopher Waller, San
Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, St Louis Fed President
Alberto Musalem; Bank of England Deputy Governor for Financial
Stability Sarah Breeden speak
* U.S. Treasury sells $22 billion of 30-year bonds
* U.S. corporate earnings: Conagra Brands, Delta Air Lines
Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not reflect
the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is
committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.