(The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a
columnist for Reuters.)
By Mike Dolan
April 22 (Reuters) -
What matters in U.S. and global markets today
By Mike Dolan, Editor-at-Large, Finance and Markets
President Donald Trump unilaterally extended the Iran war
ceasefire beyond Wednesday's deadline, but it's not clear
whether anyone else involved in the conflict has agreed. That
partly explains why crude oil prices have not reacted
significantly in response to what would otherwise be seen as a
relief signal.
I'll get into that and more below.
But first, check out my latest column on why Kevin Warsh may
struggle to please President Trump as Fed Chair.
And listen to the latest episode of the Morning Bid daily
podcast, where I discuss oil's reaction to the ceasefire
extension and more.
Finally, don't forget to mark April 23 in your calendar, when
I'll be joining my ROI colleague Jamie McGeever for a timely
webinar discussion on rethinking safe-haven assets in uncertain
times. Sign up here.
ANOTHER DEADLINE DODGED
Brent crude prices edged up on Wednesday to just under $100 per
barrel, while WTI crude traded at around $91/bbl. Iran has
claimed that the U.S. blockade of its ports, which Trump said
would continue, is a breach of the ceasefire and that the Strait
of Hormuz would remain closed as a result.
There are reports of cargo ships in the waterway being fired
upon again this morning, and it's unclear when - or if - fresh
talks between the two sides will commence.
Nevertheless, world stock markets and Wall Street futures are
more upbeat about an eventual de-escalation - as they have been
for most of the past week - and are looking elsewhere for
direction.
Most obviously, they're looking in the effervescent tech space.
South Korean, Japanese and Taiwanese stocks continued to set new
highs overnight, with Korea's chip giant SK Hynix breaking into
the top 20 of the world's most valuable companies.
Tesla's results after the bell tonight will likely focus on
the firm's energy and solar business, robotaxi plans and its
proposed move into chip design. Intel, the big mover of the
month, will also report on Thursday. A 50% stock price gain in
April so far makes it one of the best months for the chip giant
on record.
Wall Street index futures edged up ahead of Wednesday's
bell.
The other focus of the past 24 hours was Fed Chair nominee Kevin
Warsh's confirmation hearing in Congress. There were few big
surprises, and Treasury markets and the dollar remained steady
afterwards.
Warsh insisted he had not been asked by Trump to commit to
interest rate cuts and concentrated instead on his plans for
"regime change" in the Fed's policymaking framework and his
longer-term wish for the Fed's balance sheet to be reduced.
Just before Warsh spoke, Trump said he would be disappointed if
his new appointee did not deliver immediate rate cuts - but with
price pressures back on the boil, that looks like a distant
hope. Markets see less than a 50% chance of the Fed resuming
easing for the rest of the year.
Meanwhile, March U.S. retail sales were up more than forecast,
even when big gas pump receipts are stripped out. The broader
economy seems to have weathered the oil shock so far - at least
for one month.
Elsewhere, UK inflation for March came in higher than expected -
rising to 3.3% from 3.0% the prior month - but core prices
excluding energy were more subdued.
Chart of the day
Shares in U.S. chipmaker Intel have soared more than 50% in
the past month and have more than trebled in the past year as
demand for its chips and servers soars amid the worldwide AI
buildout, and after the U.S. government and Nvidia took stakes
in the once-struggling firm last year.
Intel is due to report earnings on Thursday amid fears of a
chip shortage - but this month it expanded its AI CPU
partnership with Google and joined Elon Musk's Terafab AI chip
complex project to make processors.
Today's events to watch
* U.S. 20-year bond auction (1 p.m. EDT)
* U.S. corporate earnings: Tesla, IBM, Moody's
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Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not reflect
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