A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike
Dolan
A volatile week for Wall Street megacaps looks set to end with a
positive twist as Microsoft ( MSFT ) and Alphabet
earnings wowed the gallery overnight, while the yen plunged anew
in Asia as the Bank of Japan left policy on hold.
After a day in which Meta's outsize spend on
artificial intelligence appear to spook investors and sent both
its stock and the wider tech sector into tailspin, its rivals
appeared to steady the ship overnight.
Google-parent Alphabet announced its first-ever dividend and
a $70 billion stock buyback, sending its stock surging nearly
16% after the bell. Microsoft ( MSFT ) beat estimates for its quarterly
revenue and profit, driven by gains from adoption of artificial
intelligence across its cloud services, and its shares jumped
more than 4% in extended trade.
Snap was another outsize move, with its shares
soaring nearly 30% in Frankfurt after the owner of the photo
messaging app beat expectations for quarterly revenue and user
growth.
It wasn't all sweetness and light, however, and chipmaker
Intel's ( INTC ) shares dived more than 8% after it forecast
second-quarter revenue and profit below market estimates and was
seen to be trailing in the booming market for AI components.
Nevertheless, the upshot for the wider market has seen
Nasdaq futures jump back more than 1% overnight and S&P500
futures were up about 0.8% - with Friday's earnings diary topped
by Big Oil names such as Exxon Mobil and Chevron.
Asian and European bourses also rallied on Friday and the
VIX stock market volatility gauge remained in check near
Thursday's lowest point in about two weeks.
But much of the macro market focus in Asia today has been on
the plummeting and increasingly volatile Japanese yen -
which skidded more than 0.5% to another 34-year low at 156.82
per dollar as the Bank of Japan stood pat on its still-easy
monetary policy.
It swung wildly in London trading hours as traders grew wary
of official action to stem its slide, although no actual
intervention was detected yet and it retained much of the day's
losses.
The Bank of Japan kept interest rates around zero and
highlighted a growing conviction that inflation was on track to
durably hit 2% in coming years, signalling its readiness to hike
borrowing costs later this year.
But the yen dropped amid a lack of clear guidance on the
future rate hike path and the still yawning rate gap between
Japan and the rest of the developed world.
With the dollar actually softer against other major
currencies after Thursday's surprising miss in the headline U.S.
gross domestic product reading, yen weakness against the dollar
was pervasive elsewhere too.
The U.S. economy grew at its slowest pace in nearly two
years in Q1 but the number was partly depressed by a surge in
imports and this sign of solid domestic demand and an
acceleration in inflation gauges for the quarter reinforced
expectations that the Federal Reserve would not cut interest
rates before September.
Nevertheless, Treasury yields backed off recent
highs on Friday as traders awaited the release of Fed's favored
PCE inflation gauge for March later in the day.
Although the headline rate of PCE inflation is expected to
have ticked up a notch to 2.6% last month, the core rate is
forecast to have slipped to 2.7%.
In dealmaking, Anglo American rejected rival miner
BHP Group's ( BHP ) 31.1 billion pound ($39 billion) takeover
proposal on Friday, saying the bid significantly undervalued the
London-listed miner and its future prospects.
Key diary items that may provide direction to U.S. markets later
on Friday:
* US March PCE inflation reading, Dallas Fed trimmed mean PCE,
University of Michigan's final April sentiment index
* US corporate earnings: Exxon Mobil, Chevron, AbbVie, Colgate
Palmolive, T Rowe Price, Aon, HCA Healthcare, Roper
Technologies, Charter Communications, Centene, Ball,
LyondellBasell, Phillips 66
* German Chancellor Olaf Scholz hosts NATO Secretary-General
Jens Stoltenberg in Berlin in preparation for the alliance's
75th anniversary
(By Mike Dolan, editing by Gareth Jones