(The opinions expressed here are those of the authors.)
By Anna Szymanski
LONDON, Oct 10 (Reuters) - By Anna Szymanski, ROI
Editor-in-Charge, and the ROI team
Hello Morning Bid readers!
Warnings about a stock market bubble grew louder this week, with
the Bank of England, IMF and JPMorgan boss Jamie Dimon all
expressing concern about the potential economic fallout if Wall
Street were to suddenly stop defying gravity. Meanwhile, another
epic rally - the runup in gold above $4,000 per ounce - stalled
on Thursday, likely reflecting profit-taking following the
yellow metal's more than 50% rise this year.
ROI editor-at-large Mike Dolan this week took a look at the twin
rallies in equities and gold, noting that investors may be eager
to chase artificial intelligence stocks higher, but they are
also hedging fears of a prolonged inflation burst due to lax
monetary and fiscal policy in many advanced economies.
If you want to understand why governments across the developed
world have turned so dovish, ROI markets columnist Jamie
McGeever argues you might take a look at a chart that IMF
Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva recently spotlighted
about the decline in economic mobility.
Meanwhile, the U.S. government shutdown has entered its second
week. One of the biggest concerns for markets has been the delay
of important economic data releases, like monthly jobs figures.
But Jamie McGeever argues that investors may not need official
data. If they want to know how the economy is doing, they can
just look at the stock market.
In energy markets, oil prices rose early in the week on news
that the latest OPEC+ supply increase was smaller than expected.
However, ROI Energy Columnist Ron Bousso warns that - regardless
of the size - the continued oil output increases are eroding
OPEC+'s spare production capacity, a vital cushion that has
helped to mitigate volatility in recent years.
Oil prices then fell on Thursday, as a ceasefire deal was
agreed to by Israel and the Palestinian militant group Hamas.
Geopolitical conflict remains a serious risk to energy markets,
however. Ron Bousso points out that Russia's heavy bombardment
of Ukraine's natural gas infrastructure ahead of winter could
have a knock-on impact on Europe's energy market.
On the renewables side, ROI Energy Transition Columnist Gavin
Maguire highlights the extent of China's clean energy dominance
and explains why Texas's main power generation system is on
track for a rare contraction in fossil fuel-fired generation
this year.
And, finally, over in the metals world, ROI Metals Columnist
Andy Home discusses the impact of Indonesia's crackdown on
illegal tin mining and then explores how the Democratic Republic
of Congo is seeking to tame the notoriously volatile cobalt
market.
As we head into the weekend, check out the ROI team's
recommendations for what you should read, listen to, and watch
to stay informed and ready for the week ahead.
I'd love to hear from you, so please reach out to me at
This weekend, we're reading...
My most interesting read this week is a on deep-sea
mining, an area receiving a lot of interest as the world
searches for more battery metals to power the energy transition.
There are undoubtedly rich deposits below the oceans, but the
problem is, who's going to process them into metal?
I recommend the , published this week. The headline growth
forecast anticipates enormous expansion of renewables over the
next five years, particularly in solar power. However, the
report also reveals the challenges the sector faces due to U.S.
President Donald Trump's hostility towards renewables and the
impact of rising costs on the offshore wind sector.
This explains why rising tungsten prices are causing a
fresh headache for U.S. oil drillers. U.S. energy firms are
already feeling the sting of inflation as their overall
extraction costs rise, and now Chinese export controls on this
ultra-hard metal, which is used for drill bits, is making things
worse,
We're listening to...
Brookings's latest weekly podcast looks at why U.S.
tariffs and retaliatory measures by other countries are putting
.
A gaping hole in the national finances is at the heart of
France's political crisis. Can a tax on the super-rich help? In
the , Carmel Crimmins talks to Paris-based senior correspondent
Leigh Thomas and Francesco Canepa, senior European economics
correspondent, about the pros and cons of taxing wealth.
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Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not reflect
the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is
committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
(By Anna Szymanski.)