(The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a
columnist for Reuters.)
By Mike Dolan
June 24 (Reuters) -
What matters in U.S. and global markets today
By Mike Dolan, Editor-at-Large, Finance and Markets
An 8% plunge in the high-flying U.S. chip stock index on Tuesday
marked a jarring injection of volatility into mid-year trading.
Memory chipmaker Micron Technology fell around 13%, reversing
all its gains from the day before, ahead of its earnings update
today.
For an index that had doubled so far this year, maybe it just
ran out of steam, but the 10% retreat in South Korea's
chip-heavy and volatile KOSPI earlier in the day won't have
helped either.
SoftBank CEO Masayoshi Son thinks it's "blasphemy" to think of
AI as a bubble, though after this week's latest wobble, others
may not be as confident.
I'll get into that and more below.
But first, check out my latest column on why a Greenspan-style
approach to asset bubbles could be cause for concern under Kevin
Warsh's Federal Reserve.
And listen to the latest episode of the Morning Bid daily
podcast. Subscribe to hear Reuters journalists discuss the
biggest news in markets and finance seven days a week.
BUBBLE OR BLASPHEMY?
The KOSPI, other Asia bourses and U.S. futures stabilised a bit
overnight after Tuesday's tech selloff, which saw the Nasdaq
shed more than 2%. But the episode will prompt another bout of
questions around stretched tech valuations.
Micron's earnings will be the sector's next test as
investors look to learn more about the AI-driven memory chip
demand that's propelled the company's stock up more than 200%
this year.
SpaceX's damp squib over the past week since its IPO was another
sideshow, with the rocket maker falling precipitously from its
post-IPO peak. But its shares found a level above the listing
price on Tuesday.
One factor gnawing at tech is pumped-up Fed rate-rise
expectations since last week's policy meeting - and the wild
divergence in forecasts on what might happen from here. Bank of
America expects three hikes through next January, for example,
while Citi still expects three cuts.
U.S. business surveys for June were above forecast, meantime,
while oil prices continued to ebb toward four-month lows on
U.S.-Iran talks and increased shipping activity in the Gulf,
with Brent crude dipping below $76 per barrel.
In currency markets, the dollar extended recent gains on
rate-hike bets, with the dollar index reaching a 13-month high
and attention staying fixed on possible Bank of Japan
intervention to prevent the greenback from hitting 40-year highs
against the yen.
An intriguing story about how Japan's government is looking for
better ways to manage its $1.3 trillion foreign exchange
reserves is also grabbing attention.
In single stock moves, FedEx stock fell 6% out of hours on
worries about tighter margins in its latest earnings update on
Tuesday. And private credit jitters continue to rumble as Morgan
Stanley joined Apollo this week with the latest report of heavy
redemptions from its flagship funds.
Chart of the day
Donald Trump's overall approval rating dropped to 34%, according
to the latest Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll, a return to the lowest
level of the Republican president's second term that was last
touched in an April survey.
Trump's approval rating on the cost of living, at 22%, was
near the lowest level of his presidency and below the rating of
his Democratic predecessor Joe Biden at the end of his
presidency. Only 24% of Americans think the war with Iran was
worth the costs, the poll showed.
Today's events to watch
* U.S. corporate earnings: Micron Technology
* U.S. Q1 current account (8:30 a.m. EDT), May new home
sales (10 a.m. EDT)
* U.S. 2-year floating rate note auction (11:30 a.m. EDT),
5-year note auction (1 p.m. EDT)
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Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not reflect
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