(The opinions expressed here are those of the authors. )
By Anna Szymanski
LONDON, Sept 19 (Reuters) -
Check out what
ROI Editor-in-Charge Anna Szymanski
and the rest of the ROI team are excited to read, watch and
listen to over the weekend.
Hello Morning Bid readers!
U.S stocks hit record highs on Thursday, buoyed by the Federal
Reserve's first interest rate cut in 2025, a drop in U.S.
jobless claims, and the announcement that Nvidia will invest $5
billion in the struggling U.S. chipmaker Intel.
On Friday morning, the big news in Asia was not so much that the
Bank of Japan kept short-term interest rates unchanged at 0.5%,
which was widely expected, but that two members voted for a hike
and also that the central bank announced that it would begin
selling its vast holdings of exchange-traded funds and
real-estate investment trusts.
Much of the financial world's focus this week has been on
central banks, most notably the U.S Federal Reserve. Some argue
that the Fed's 25 basis point cut and dovish steer may cause it
to unintentionally stumble into stimulative territory, simply
because it is so challenging to determine where the so-called
neutral rate is. Others argue that the Fed's problems may be of
its own making given its questionable record on inflation
control.
One of the biggest takeaways from Chair Jerome Powell's remarks
was the lack of clarity surrounding the U.S. labor and inflation
outlooks. This confusion is epitomized by inconsistencies
between the Fed's statements and changes to its economic
predictions, argues ROI Markets Columnist Jamie McGeever. He
also discusses why Fed easing could be a mixed blessing for the
rest of the world.
Over in the United Kingdom, the Band of England held rates
steady on Thursday but said it was slowing the pace of its
quantitative tightening program. ROI Editor-at-Large Mike Dolan
asks why the BoE doesn't just scrap direct gilt sales entirely.
In the commodities markets, China's surplus crude surged in
August as robust imports and domestic production offset an
increase in refinery processing.
Data about China's crude stockpiling remains opaque, one of a
growing number of blind spots in the oil market. ROI Energy
Columnist Ron Bousso argues that this is making it harder to
determine the true supply-demand balance in the world's most
important commodity market.
On the renewables side, ROI Energy Transition Columnist Gavin
Maguire discusses the widening lead Texas and California are
building over the rest of the country on the clean energy front.
He also explains why wind speeds around the UK in the coming
months could have potentially far-reaching consequences for
Europe's gas and power sectors
And over in the metals world, ROI columnist Andy Home explains
why the aluminium market, defined by historical excess, may be
facing an imminent shortfall.
As we head into the weekend, check out the ROI team's
recommendations for what you should read, listen to, and watch
to stay informed and ready for the week ahead.
I'd love to hear from you, so please reach out to me at
Airlines are racing to cut carbon emissions with biofuels,
but between U.S. green jet fuel and illegal deforestation in
the Amazon, raising urgent questions about the integrity of
sustainability certifications and the unintended consequences of
climate policy.
* RON BOUSSO, ROI Energy Columnist: a free report on the
decline rates of oil and gas fields. While it's very technical
is some parts, it also illustrates very clearly how much
investment is needed to simply keep oil and gas production
steady, let alone to see it grow.
* ANNA SZYMANSKI, ROI Editor-in-Charge: China's auto
industry is facing a crisis of oversupply that threatens
profitability for automakers and dealers alike. warns that this
situation could trigger a painful shakeout with far-reaching
implications.
In the latest episode of , the hosts are back from the
APPEC break with some market insights taken from the various
discussions around the events. The team dives into Russian oil
production and how current events could impact market structure
going forward.
MIKE DOLAN, ROI Financial Markets Editor-at-Large: This
audio summary of the ' quarterly review this week goes through
the most important issues facing world financial markets,
stressing that becasue markets have rebounded sharply from the
trade uncertainties of the early part of the year, financial
conditions are, if anything, loosening excessively.
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Opinions expressed are those of the authors. They do not reflect
the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is
committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
(By Anna Szymanski.)