(The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a
columnist for Reuters.)
By Mike Dolan
LONDON, Aug 28 (Reuters) - What matters in U.S. and
global markets today
By Mike Dolan, Editor-At-Large, Finance and Markets
Sky-high expectations left Nvidia shares in the red overnight
despite another earnings beat from the world's most valuable
company, as the market grumbled about slowing growth in core
areas and ongoing geopolitical obstacles.
* The chip giant's shares were down about 2% ahead of Thursday's
open. Doubts about the fate of Nvidia's China business amid the
U.S.-China trade war overshadowed the company's outlook for a
still whopping $54 billion of third quarter sales. The firm said
its outlook assumed no shipments of its H20 chips to China
despite having received some licenses to sell them. Ripples from
the AI behemoth's share price stumble were limited across the
global chip sector, with Nvidia boss Jensen Huang saying the
artificial intelligence spending boom was far from over. And S&P
500 futures remained steady after a record close for the index
on Wednesday.
* Federal Reserve board governor Christopher Waller, tipped by
many as President Donald Trump's pick for the next Chair and
advocate of immediate Fed rate cuts, is due to speak later today
with intensifying political pressure on the central bank the
main focus. With Fed futures pricing for a rate cut next month
creeping back up toward 90%, two-year Treasury yields slipped
further to four-month lows of 3.61% and two-year
inflation-linked swaps closed in on 3% for the first time in
three months. Yields across the curve fell back too after a
reasonable 5-year note auction, with the dollar under renewed
pressure as China's offshore yuan surged to its highest levels
of the year and Chinese stocks rallied.
* Elsewhere, what's almost become an annual budget-related
crisis for the French government - one that could see it
collapse next month - smouldered but French and euro zone stocks
rallied and 30-year French government debt yields fell back from
Wednesday's 13-year high. U.S. second-quarter GDP revisions and
weekly jobless updates top the economic diary later, with more
big retailers reporting earnings.
Today's column looks at the Fed independence row and how
Trump's growing control of the central bank could result in a
resumption of dollar weakness that the administration would
likely welcome.
Today's Market Minute
* Nvidia (NVDA.O) shares dipped on Wednesday as the fate of its
China business hung in the balance, caught up in the trade war
between Washington and Beijing.
* The U.S. government's new stake in Intel (INTC.O) is making
some investors nervous that President Donald Trump's deal
heralds an era of government meddling in private industry,
particularly as the arrangement followed Trump's call for the
resignation of the computer chip maker's CEO.
* Nvidia (NVDA.O) CEO Jensen Huang on Wednesday dismissed
concern about an end to a spending boom on artificial
intelligence chips, projecting opportunities will expand into a
multi-trillion-dollar market over the next five years.
* European gas traders have faced a stressful race against the
clock in recent summers as they have scrambled to refill
depleted gas storage facilities ahead of winter. But, writes ROI
energy columnist Ron Bousso, the continent's traders and
governments should have a lot more breathing room this year.
* Almost everyone agrees that overt politicization of monetary
policy is dangerous. Why is that? ROI markets columnist Jamie
McGeever's provides five examples of where excessive political
interference in central banking can lead.
Chart of the day
Nvidia's stellar earnings beats are almost inevitably
becoming less meaty. The chipmaker expects revenue of $54
billion, plus or minus 2%, in the third quarter, compared with
average estimates of $53.14 billion. But its fiscal
second-quarter results came up short of some analyst
expectations in its important data center segment, with some
analysts suggesting cloud computing providers may be more
cautious about spending.
Nvidia also said it has not assumed any shipments of its H20
chips to China in its outlook, despite having earlier this month
received some licenses to sell them. If geopolitical issues
subside and it gets more orders, Nvidia said it could add $2
billion to $5 billion in H20 revenue in the third quarter. The
overall picture sent its shares down 2-3% in after-hours
trading, clipping about $110 billion from Nvidia's unrivalled
$4.4 trillion market capitalization.
Today's events to watch
* U.S. Q2 GDP revision, Q2 corporate profits (8:30 AM EDT),
weekly jobless claims (8:30 AM EDT), July pending home sales
(10:00 AM EDT), Kansas City Fed's August business surveys (11:00
AM EDT)
* Federal Reserve Board Governor Christopher Waller speaks
* U.S. corporate earnings: Best Buy, Dollar General, Dell,
Autodesk, Hormel Foods, Ulta Beauty, Brown-Forman
* U.S. Treasury sells $44 billion of 7-year notes
* 25th Franco-German Council of Ministers in Toulon
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Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not
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