(The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a
columnist for Reuters.)
By Mike Dolan
June 8 (Reuters) -
What matters in U.S. and global markets today
By Mike Dolan, Editor-at-Large, Finance and Markets
Wall Street is holding its breath after Friday's withering chip
sector selloff, as tech stocks around the world fell back
sharply in response on Monday.
Red-hot chip stocks have been knocked back by a combination of
last week's earnings disappointment from Broadcom, a loss of
momentum as the S&P 500's nine-week winning streak came to an
end, and rising Fed rate-hike bets after Friday's robust May
payrolls report.
I'll get into that and more below.
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CHIP CHILL, JOBS HEAT AND WAR
The SOX semiconductor index plunged 10% on Friday alone, with
Broadcom itself down 20% over two days and the broader Nasdaq
off some 4% heading into the weekend. Futures tried to grab a
toehold first thing on Monday, but tech-heavy Asia bourses
nosedived and Europe's STOXX 600 slid to a two-week low.
Adding to the angst, Iran and Israel traded direct missile
strikes over the weekend for the first time since April,
catapulting crude oil prices back up over 4% and aggravating
rate-hike expectations. Markets now see an almost 80% chance of
a hike by year-end and almost two hikes within 12 months.
Treasury yields are back on the rise.
All this had President Trump fighting multiple fires over the
weekend, urging against interest rate rises and renewing calls
for cuts instead. At the same time, his call on Israel not to
retaliate against Iranian strikes on Sunday went unheeded. The
fresh fighting dampens hopes of a comprehensive peace deal that
would free up oil supplies.
With equity markets resetting as they take in all the new
information, they're also bracing for the mega SpaceX IPO, which
is expected on Friday.
While analysts reckon the wave of IPOs expected this summer can
likely be offset by a record pace of buybacks, there is concern
about a parallel wave of equity financing by the so-called
hyperscalers amid the gigantic AI investment buildout. Alphabet
announced some $80 billion of new equity sales last week and
there are reports Meta is set to follow suit.
Meantime, in Europe, markets are bracing for a long-awaited
European Central Bank rate rise on Thursday. Despite this, the
dollar has strengthened against the euro on the changing Fed
horizon.
Chart of the day
The U.S. economy posted a third straight month of strong job
gains in May, with payrolls increasing by 172,000, more than
twice what was forecast. The economy also added 93,000 more jobs
in March and April than previously estimated, and the
unemployment rate held at 4.3% for a third month. Employment
gains averaged 188,000 jobs per month over the past three
months, nearly triple the comparable figure for the same period
in 2025.
Concern about overheating stems from estimates that the
economy needs to create between zero and 50,000 jobs a month to
match growth in the working-age population - a so-called
breakeven rate that has been sharply reduced by the crackdown on
immigration over the past year.
Today's events to watch
* U.S. Conference Board Employment Trends Index for May (10
a.m. EDT)
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