(The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a
columnist for Reuters.)
By Mike Dolan
August 4 (Reuters) -
What matters in U.S. and global markets today
By Mike Dolan, Editor-at-Large, Finance and Markets
World markets turned quieter on Tuesday after yesterday's equity
rally and oil price decline, with Asian stock markets steady and
Wall Street futures pointing up slightly.
Well over halfway through the booming U.S. corporate earnings
season, attention today will turn to the first earnings report
of Elon Musk's SpaceX.
I'll get into that and more below.
But first, check out my latest column on the overstimulated U.S.
economy and what the bond market may do about it.
And give us your thoughts on the corporate earnings outlook in
ROI's latest LinkedIn poll.
Finally, listen to today's episode of the Morning Bid daily
podcast, where we discuss the latest sign of U.S. economic
resilience.
EARNINGS OVERLOAD
The earnings season continues to generate significant price
moves. Palantir beat estimates overnight, largely thanks to
large government contracts, lifting the tech group's stock more
than 10% in extended trading.
The broad picture of U.S. manufacturing last month was similarly
impressive, with yesterday's latest surveys showing factory
growth running at its fastest pace in four years, despite
sky-high input prices.
Oil ticked up slightly on Tuesday after dropping 7% yesterday,
amid confusion about what could happen next in the Gulf.
President Donald Trump's claim that talks with Iran would take
place on Monday was denied by Tehran, which said the only talks
underway were with Oman over the Strait of Hormuz.
Another ship was attacked near this critical waterway on Monday.
Traffic through Hormuz and the Bab el-Mandeb strait has remained
minimal and largely unchanged recently.
Meantime, the yen story went somewhat quiet after Tokyo and
Washington's heavy joint intervention to lift the ailing
Japanese currency last week. The yen eased slightly against the
dollar early on Tuesday but stayed well above recent 40-year
lows.
We may now be entering a period in which markets and
authorities play something of a cat-and-mouse game to test
Tokyo's resolve to draw a line under the currency. But for now,
things are calmer.
Elsewhere, results season saw HSBC profits jump and the bank
resume buybacks, echoing the bumper quarter enjoyed by the
world's other big banks.
Later today, SpaceX's earnings, due after the bell, will shed
light on Starlink profits and how far they can bankroll the
rocket maker's growing AI capex.
And, finally, the week's U.S. labor market releases will
kick off later today with job openings data for June, ahead of
the July employment report on Friday.
Chart of the day
SpaceX's first earnings report since its IPO will provide an
early gauge of whether Starlink's profits can sustain the
company's rapidly growing spending on AI and space ventures.
The results will give SpaceX's limited pool of public
investors their first chance to judge whether the financial case
behind the company's lofty valuation supports CEO Elon Musk's
vision of creating a powerhouse spanning AI, space and
telecommunications.
SpaceX shares have pulled back sharply since the company's $86
billion IPO in June, as investors questioned whether its pricing
at 77 times forecast revenue can be justified.
Today's events to watch
* U.S. June JOLTS job openings (10 a.m. EDT), June factory
orders (10 a.m. EDT), June trade balance (8:30 a.m. EDT)
* 30-year TIPS auction (1 p.m. EDT)
* Kansas Fed's Jeffrey Schmid speaks (8:15 p.m. EDT)
* U.S. corporate earnings: SpaceX, AMD, Pfizer, Merck,
Apollo, Caterpillar
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Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not reflect
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