(The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a
columnist for Reuters)
By Mike Dolan
Oct 21 (Reuters) - What matters in U.S. and global
markets today
By Mike Dolan, Editor-At-Large, Finance and Markets
While U.S. and world markets got a bounce to start the week,
spurred by optimism on trade, hopes for an end to the Washington
shutdown and some relief from regional bank jitters, the Wall
Street rally has stuttered early on Tuesday just as a deluge of
corporate updates looms.
The election of Liberal Democratic Party leader and fiscal
expansionist Sanae Takaichi as Japan's first female prime
minister on Tuesday sustained Monday's surge in the Nikkei stock
benchmark at record highs, but attention quickly switched to her
pick for finance minister. The yen continued to weaken even
after media reports that Satsuki Katayama was in the frame for
the job and has previously advocated a much stronger currency.
China's stocks recorded their biggest gain in six weeks,
meantime, as U.S. President Donald Trump expressed optimism
about a potential fair trade deal with Chinese President Xi
Jinping before the latest deadline on draconian tariffs hits on
November 1. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is set to meet
Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng this week.
This week's Communist Party meeting on a new five-year
economic plan has also buoyed markets there.
Back stateside, there was some hope for an end to what's now set
to be a 21-day government shutdown, now matching the second
longest on record, after White House economic adviser Kevin
Hassett said it could end as soon as this week.
Regional bank jitters also eased a touch as one of the names in
the headlines last week, Zions Bancorp, reported decent earnings
overnight despite taking a hefty loss on two loans and its stock
rose 2% in after-hours trading.
But Wall Street stock futures fell back slightly before
Tuesday's bell, however, as the corporate earnings really kick
in. Netflix tops the diary, but big industrial and defense names
are also reported.
Helped by a drop in crude oil prices to 5-month lows on
Monday, U.S. Treasury yields were softer and the dollar was
stronger - mainly on the falling yen. In a rare move these days,
gold prices fell over 1% from this week's new records.
* Argentina's peso continued to weaken even after the central
bank there signed a $20 billion exchange-rate stabilization
agreement with the U.S. Treasury Department, six days ahead of a
key midterm election. A group of U.S. banks, including JPMorgan,
Bank of America and Goldman Sachs is hesitant to lend $20
billion to Argentina without guarantees or collateral, the Wall
Street Journal reported.
* Euro zone banks may come under pressure if U.S. dollar funding
- the lifeblood of financial markets - were to dry up, the
European Central Bank's chief economist Philip Lane said on
Tuesday amid concern over Trump's policies. Dollar funding fears
have been at the back of central bankers' minds since Trump
announced a wave of trade tariffs and began putting pressure on
the Fed earlier this year.
* Trump's backing of Australia's critical minerals will bring
much-needed financial support to the industry, but experts say
the U.S. president will have to wait longer to shift the supply
chain away from China and weaken its market dominance. Goldman
Sachs flagged mounting risks to global supply chains of rare
earths and other minerals in a note on Monday that emphasized
China's dominance - as it controls 69% of rare earth mining, 92%
of refining and 98% of magnet manufacturing.
In today's column, I take a look at the peculiar market
mood, which seems .
Today's Market Minute
* European leaders, including from Britain, France, Germany
and
the European Union, issued a joint statement with Ukraine on
Tuesday backing U.S. President Donald Trump's call for a
ceasefire at present battle lines.
* Hardline conservative Sanae Takaichi was elected Japan's
first
female prime minister on Tuesday, shattering the nation's glass
ceiling and setting it up for a forceful turn to the right.
* Donald Trump's backing of Australia's critical minerals
will
bring much-needed financial support to the industry, but experts
say the U.S. president will have to wait longer to shift the
supply chain away from China and weaken its market dominance.
* The surge in gold, cryptocurrencies and stocks has sparked
claims that the U.S. "debasement trade" is in full swing, but
the bond and the foreign exchange markets tell a very different
story, writes ROI markets columnist Jamie McGeever,.
* The deal to develop critical mineral supply chains between
the
United States and Australia is not quite the game-changer needed
to end Western reliance on China, but it is an important first
step, argues ROI Asia commodities columnist Clyde Russell.
Chart of the day
Gold slipped back from its latest record high on Tuesday
after an extraordinary 2025 that's seen it gain up to 66% - on
course for its best year since 1979. Investment fund demand for
gold exposure has been a key feature and data on exchange traded
gold fund flows just show how much that has swelled this
year.
Today's events to watch
* Canada September consumer prices (8:30 AM EDT)
* Federal Reserve Board Governor Christopher Waller
speaks; European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde speaks
* U.S. corporate earnings: Netflix, Omnicom, Texas
Instruments, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, Pentair,
Halliburton, General Motors, Paccar, Capital One, Nasdaq, 3M,
Equifax, EQT, Intuitive Surgical, Quest Diagnostics, Coca-Cola,
Philip Morris, Chubb, Danaher, Elevance, RTX, Genuine Parts,
Pultegroup
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Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not reflect
the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is
committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
(By Mike Dolan; Editing by Alison Williams.)