(The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a
columnist for Reuters)
By Mike Dolan
June 11 (Reuters) -
What matters in U.S. and global markets today
By Mike Dolan, Editor-at-Large, Finance and Markets
Markets are getting hit on several fronts: war, inflation,
interest rate rises and tech jitters. And while Donald Trump may
"love the inflation", the markets and wider public disagree.
True, Trump may have misspoken and was likely nodding not to
elevated prices themselves, but to the fact that May's core CPI
reading was slightly cooler than forecast. But with headline
inflation back as high as 4.2%, investors trying to slice and
dice the report for some optimism appear to be having a harder
time than the president - and will have to digest today's May
producer prices update, too.
I'll get into that and more below.
But first, check out my latest column on what low-hanging fruit
the EU should pick to help bring about a "global euro".
And listen to the latest episode of the Morning Bid daily
podcast. Subscribe to hear Reuters journalists discuss the
biggest news in markets and finance seven days a week.
LEARNING TO LOVE THE INFLATION
Oil prices fell on Thursday, having pared earlier gains
triggered by another round of military exchanges between the
U.S. and Iran overnight, which took their tit-for-tat strikes
into a second straight day.
Meanwhile, with the mega SpaceX IPO just about to hit the
Street, the broader chip and tech sectors can't seem to find
their feet. Major U.S. stock indexes closed lower on Wednesday
as chipmakers extended recent declines, with the SOX chip index
falling back over 3%. Wall Street futures were up before the
bell on Thursday, however.
Oracle plunged 9% in overnight trading after its earnings on
Wednesday, coming soon after Broadcom's own post-earnings swoon
set nerves jangling last week. For Oracle, tensions centered on
a growing debt pile as it borrows more to fund its AI
infrastructure buildout.
Adding to the angst about borrowing costs, the European Central
Bank is set to deliver its long-awaited rate rise on Thursday,
with focus likely to be on how much more tightening it could
signal down the line.
It's unlikely to suggest that today's hike is "one and done"
as the Iran war is aggravating its own inflation forecasts.
Markets are braced for as many as two further ECB moves later
this year.
Next week, markets will turn their attention to an expected
Bank of Japan rate rise and a likely hawkish Federal Reserve
meeting.
Notably, Treasury yields rose shortly after tensions in the
Gulf ratcheted higher, even though there appeared to be decent
demand at Wednesday's 10-year Treasury debt auction. Kevin Warsh
will not have an easy job at his debut meeting next week.
Chart of the day
This year's FIFA World Cup tournament - co-hosted by the
United States, Canada and Mexico - kicks off on Thursday amid
much excitement and considerable controversy over everything
from U.S. visas to sky-high ticket prices. But some of the
economic value of hosting the world's biggest sporting event can
be seen in vacation rental bookings in the cities holding the
games.
Today's events to watch
* U.S. May PPI (8:30 a.m. EDT), weekly jobless claims (8:30
a.m. EDT)
* U.S. 30-year bond auction (1 p.m. EDT)
* ECB interest rate decision (8:15 a.m. EDT)
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Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not reflect
the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is
committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.