(The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a
columnist for Reuters.)
By Mike Dolan
LONDON, June 9 (Reuters) - What matters in U.S. and
global markets today
I'm excited to announce that I'm now part of
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X.
Soothed by another resilient U.S. employment report and optimism
about trade deal breakthroughs, stocks are continuing to nudge
higher as all eyes turn to U.S.-China bilateral trade talks in
London on Monday.
I'll discuss this and the rest of today's market news below. In
today's column, I explore a plan for jointly issued euro zone
debt that could be a game-changer.
Today's Market Minute
* Three of President Donald Trump's top aides will meet with
their Chinese counterparts in London on Monday for talks aimed
at resolving a trade dispute between the world's two largest
economies that has kept global markets on edge.
* California National Guard troops were deployed to the streets
of Los Angeles on Sunday to help quell a third day of protests
over President Trump's immigration enforcement, a step the
state's Democratic governor, Gavin Newsom, called unlawful.
* Japan is considering buying back some super-long government
bonds issued in the past at low interest rates, two sources with
direct knowledge of the plan said on Monday.
* Trump's move to double tariffs on aluminum imports increases
the risk of a full-blown scrap war with the European Union,
Reuters Open Interest metals columnist Andy Home says.
* Europe's ambition to develop cheap, clean energy has recently
received a harsh reality check, Reuters Open Interest energy
columnist Ron Bousso argues, as power failures and a string of
cancelled renewables projects make clear that the road to
inexpensive power will carry a very high price tag.
London showdown
A top-level U.S. delegation including Treasury Secretary
Scott Bessent, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick and Trade
Representative Jamieson Greer is in the UK to meet with Chinese
representatives for trade talks. China's vice premier He Lifeng
is also in the UK.
The meeting follows a 90-minute phone call between
Presidents Donald Trump and Xi Jinping last week to restart the
stalled process.
Tensions between the countries remain high, but on a
positive note, there was some relief on Friday from news that
Beijing had granted temporary export licenses to suppliers of
rare earth minerals to the top three U.S. automakers: Ford,
General Motors and Stellantis.
Meanwhile, trade pressures on China's stuttering economy were
all too evident in the latest sweep of May export and inflation
numbers released on Monday.
China's exports to the U.S. plunged 34.5% year-on-year in
May, the sharpest drop since February 2020 when the COVID-19
pandemic upended global trade. The decline in imports from
America also deepened to an annual drop of 18%.
By contrast, Wall Street stocks were buoyed by the April U.S.
payrolls report released on Friday, with the S&P500
gaining more than 1% by the close to reach its highest point
since February. Both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq are now
back in positive territory for the year.
Nonfarm jobs increased by 139,000 jobs last month, slightly
above consensus forecasts, the Bureau of Labor Statistics said.
While downward revisions to the two prior months' figures are a
cause for some concern, the sweep of the report showed few major
cracks.
Treasury yields rose after the report, with 30-year yields
back within a few basis points of 5% again on Monday
ahead of the week's big long bond auction and the May U.S.
consumer price inflation data release on Wednesday.
Despite President Trump's call for a full percentage point cut
in Federal Reserve interest rates on Friday and his statement
about naming Fed Chair Jerome Powell's successor soon, Fed
easing expectations remain subdued. Futures now only price about
a 70% chance of a move by September and expect only 46 bps of
cuts by yearend.
Outside of the U.S., the Japanese yen firmed to
144.43 per dollar as Japan's economy contracted at a
slower-than-expected pace in the January-March period.
Japan's government is considering buying back some
super-long bonds it issued at low interest rates, according to
Reuters sources. The move would come on top of an expected
government plan to trim issuance of super-long bonds in the wake
of sharp rises in yields.
Be sure to check out today's column, which looks at a novel
proposal for expanding the size and liquidity of jointly issued
euro sovereign bonds. This possible plan comes at a critical
juncture when global investors are looking for possible
alternatives to the dominant U.S. Treasury market.
Chart of the day
China's export growth slowed to a three-month low in May as
U.S. tariffs slammed shipments, while factory-gate deflation
deepened to its worst level in two years, heaping pressure on
the world's second-largest economy on both the domestic and
external fronts. While the trade story has hogged the spotlight
this year, the deflation picture has been brewing for several
years, partly because the country's property bust has depressed
domestic demand.
Today's events to watch
* New York Federal Reserve's May survey of consumer
expectations, U.S. May employment trends (10:00 AM EDT); Mexico
May inflation (8:00 AM EDT)
* U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Commerce Secretary
Howard Lutnick and Trade Representative Jamieson Greer meet
Chinese trade delegation, including China's vice premier He
Lifeng, in London
* Argentina's President Javier Milei meets with French
President Emmanuel Macron in France
Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not reflect
the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is
committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.