A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike
Dolan
Investors appear happy to sit on punchy first quarter stock
gains as March drifts to quiet finish, with the dollar back
under wraps overseas, interest rate markets calm and volatility
subdued into the Easter break for many countries.
A slightly downbeat Monday was a mixed bag of fortunes all
told.
Under-pressure planemaker Boeing ( BA ) popped more than 1%
after announcing a broad management shake-up and saying CEO Dave
Calhoun would step down from his position at the end of 2024.
Artificial intelligence leaders Nvidia ( NVDA ) and Micron
Technology ( MU ) pushed higher, but reports China is set to
phase out U.S. microprocessors supplied by Intel ( INTC ) and
AMD from government personal computers and servers
knocked those stocks back.
A decent two-year Treasury auction kept a lid on
bond yields, while Federal Reserve officials offered a
smorgasbord of different views on the policy outlook that
shifted little in futures market expectations.
Sales of new U.S. single-family homes unexpectedly fell in
February after mortgage rates increased during the month, but
the underlying trend remained strong amid a chronic shortage of
previously owned houses on the market.
With stock markets closed for Good Friday's release of the
February PCE inflation gauge, a March consumer confidence
readout later today may grab attention.
Elsewhere, bitcoin jumped back above $70,000 on
Monday for the first time since March 15 - with little obvious
news behind it, as is so often the case. It held those gains
overnight and was hovering about $71,000 early on Tuesday.
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust recorded $1.9 billion in
outflows last week, tipping the group of U.S. spot bitcoin
exchange-traded funds into net outflows for the week ending
March 22, according to data from BitMEX Research.
Overseas, China stocks rebounded about 0.5% and
the offshore yuan firmed another notch after last week's
swoon.
China's President Xi Jinping will meet with American
business leaders in Beijing on Wednesday, according to three
sources with knowledge of the matter, in a follow up to his
November dinner with U.S. investors in San Francisco.
The meeting was proposed by chief executive of U.S. insurer
Chubb, Evan Greenberg, according to one source. Other
attendees include Stephen Orlins, president of the National
Committee on U.S.-China Relations, and Craig Allen, president of
the U.S.-China Business Council.
Japanese and European stock markets were flat, as were crude
oil prices. U.S. stock futures were marginally higher ahead of
the open - with Q1's 10% gains in the S&P500 and Nasdaq
holding and implied volatility in stocks and
bonds subdued.
The dollar edged back further from Friday's one-month
highs. Dollar/yen ebbed a touch amid wariness about Bank
of Japan intervention, but held above the 151 level.
In politics, a New York judge's decision on Monday to set an
April 15 trial date for Donald Trump's criminal hush-money case
ups the odds the former president will face at least one verdict
that could complicate his bid to retake the White House.
And in shocking general news, Baltimore's 1.6-mile Francis
Scott Key Bridge collapsed and vehicles plunged into the river
early on Tuesday after a ship collided with a support pylon.
Rescuers were searching the water for survivors.
Key diary items that may provide direction to U.S. markets later
on Tuesday:
* US March consumer confidence, Feb durable goods orders,
Richmond Fed March business survey, Dallas Fed March service
sector survey, Philadelphia Fed service sector survey, US Jan
house prices
* European Central Bank chief economist Philip Lane speaks
* US corporate earnings: McCormick
* US Treasury sells 5-year notes
* French President Emmanuel Macron visits Brazil
(By Mike Dolan, editing by Christina Fincher,