A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike
Dolan
Nvidia ( NVDA ), the Nasdaq and the S&P500 got dizzy at record highs
on Thursday as world markets start to take stock of a bumper
2024 as we near the half-year point next week - but with the
dollar back on the march regardless.
The latest U.S. economic readouts show some cooling of
activity through May and June, but the trigger for the megacap
recoil was less than clear - not least with the Atlanta Federal
Reserve's "GDPNow" real-time estimate still showing a brisk 3%
growth for the quarter.
The scale of recent tech gains may just have been too fast
as midyear accounting prompts a breather - and perhaps investors
are now bracing for a bumpier second half into November's U.S.
election. Next Thursday's presidential TV debate may sound the
klaxon for that.
Either way, Nvidia's ( NVDA ) 3.5% drop on the day meant it
surrendered its brief role as the most valued company to
Microsoft ( MSFT ) again, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq
ended a seven-day streak of record closing highs.
The wider equity complex was more mixed, however, with the
blue-chip Dow Jones gaining 0.7% and the small-cap
Russell 2000 flat on the day.
Despite another softening of Treasury yields
after misses on housing starts and jobless claims, the dollar
continued to build a head of steam.
And greenback gains were pretty broad-based - against the
European currencies where central bank rate cuts and easing bets
are mounting, but also against Japan's yen and China's
yuan in Asia.
With foreign money exiting China again - amid rising global
trade tensions and little sign of an end to the deepening
housing bust there, Chinese stocks and the yuan
had another poor end to dour week.
Foreign portfolio flows have turned. About 33 billion yuan
($4.54 billion) left the mainland this month via the Northbound
leg of the Stock Connect Scheme - following four months of net
inflows.
With one eye on the Chinese Communist Party's central
committee plenum next month and G7 countries
Euro zone business growth slowed sharply this month as
demand fell for the first time since February, a survey found,
with the bloc's services industry showing signs of weakening
while the downturn in manufacturing took a turn for the worse.
Headline Japanese consumer price inflation jumped back less
than forecast last month, with the gauge excluding energy and
fresh food falling to just 2.1%.
UK retail rebounded sharply in May after a weather-beaten
April.
Flash euro PMIS for June
French business climate
Key developments that should provide more direction to U.S.
markets later on Friday:
* US Flash June business surveys from S&P Global, May existing
home sales; Canada April retail sales
* San Francisco President Federal Reserve President Mary Daly
speaks
* German Economy Minister Robert Habeck speaks in Beijing
* ECOFIN meeting of European Union finance ministers in
Luxembourg, with European Central Bank Vice President Luis de
Guindos attending
* US corporate earnings: Carmax, Factset
(By Mike Dolan, editing by XXXX [email protected])