(The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a
columnist for Reuters.)
By Mike Dolan
August 5 (Reuters) -
What matters in U.S. and global markets today
By Mike Dolan, Editor-at-Large, Finance and Markets
For all the doubts and handwringing, the S&P 500 and Dow Jones
are back at record highs after surging on Tuesday amid falling
oil prices and the bumper earnings season.
It wasn't all plain sailing overnight, however, as SpaceX shares
fell back despite beating revenue expectations in its debut
quarterly earnings report.
I'll get into that and more below.
But first, check out my mid-week column, where I discuss the
prospect of an AI "jobsmageddon" and more.
And listen to the latest episode of the Morning Bid daily
podcast, where we discuss yesterday's standout earnings reports.
Subscribe to hear Reuters journalists discuss the biggest news
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OUTER SPACEX
The market reaction to SpaceX's debut earnings release was rocky
despite its strong top-line figures. Doubts about its rising AI
capex and cash burn dominated the discussion, alongside
lingering concern about whether sales of insider and
early-investor shares could pressure the stock as the post-IPO
lockup periods expire.
Chipmaker AMD also slipped overnight after its own
forecast-beating update.
Earlier in the day, however, Palantir saw its shares boom nearly
30% after its impressive quarterly results, while Dow stalwart
Caterpillar also jumped on its earnings. Overall, the reporting
season has been extraordinary in its strength, and the index
gains appear to have held overnight.
Yesterday's strong performance on Wall Street may be thanks, in
part, to Brent crude, which dropped another 5% to below $80 per
barrel yesterday. However, prices edged back up above that level
on Wednesday after Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthi rebels said they
attacked a Saudi oil tanker in the Red Sea.
More broadly, Washington officials have indicated that
mediation between the U.S. and Iran on reopening the Strait of
Hormuz could bear fruit this week.
While Tehran has denied direct talks with the U.S. are
happening, it said talks with Oman over transit through the
strait were continuing, while Qatari officials said go-betweens
were making progress in efforts to end the war. Traffic through
the strait is also currently busier than it has been for many
weeks.
Elsewhere, the oil price drop has taken the heat out of Treasury
yields, even though Kansas City Fed chief Jeffrey Schmid said on
Tuesday that the central bank would need to tighten policy to
get inflation back to its 2% target.
As the week's big labor market reports have started to emerge,
we've learned that June job openings fell but hiring rose.
Private sector payrolls for July are next on the schedule today.
Meanwhile, the bond market will need to consider the latest
quarterly refunding details, due out later today, to see how
higher borrowing totals are being spread out along the yield
curve.
The U.S. fiscal situation has recently taken a fresh blow. There
were reports on Tuesday that the U.S. government has already
paid out as much as $100 billion in tariff rebates after the
Supreme Court struck down many of the duties earlier in the
year.
In currency markets, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said he
would do "whatever it takes" to support Japan in its defence of
the yen and urged the Fed to upsize the repo facility used in
the joint-intervention bout last week. The yen appears to have
stabilised at stronger levels for now.
Chart of the day
Chipmaker AMD's stock fell back 7% ahead of Thursday's bell
despite a beat in quarterly revenue forecasts overnight, as
sky-high valuations mean the bar to impress Wall Street is just
as high.
The stock has risen some 140% so far this year as the AI frenzy
has catapulted chip stocks higher across the globe. AMD's $850
billion market capitalization means its
price-to-forward-earnings valuation is now an eye-watering 43
times - far higher than the 25 times for the U.S. chip sector
overall and more than twice Nvidia's multiple.
Today's events to watch
* U.S. July ADP payrolls (8:15 a.m. EDT), ISM
non-manufacturing PMI for July (10 a.m. EDT)
* U.S. corporate earnings: Eli Lilly, Sandisk, Western
Digital, Disney, Uber
* Fed Governor Lisa Cook and San Francisco Fed President
Mary Daly speak
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Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not reflect
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