(The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a
columnist for Reuters.)
By Anna Szymanski
LONDON, Oct 24 (Reuters) - Everything Mike Dolan and the
ROI team are excited to read, watch and listen to over the
weekend.
From the Editor
Hello Morning Bid readers!
Expectations of a thaw in U.S.-China relations gave Asian
equities a boost on Friday, after the White House said on
Thursday that President Donald Trump would meet with Chinese
President Xi Jinping next week during the U.S. leader's Asia
trip.
Negotiations with another large U.S. trading partner, Canada,
took a somewhat strange turn on Thursday, with Trump writing on
Truth Social that trade talks between the North American nations
were "TERMINATED," because of what he deemed to be a
"fraudulent" ad showing former President Ronald Reagan
criticizing tariffs.
In other trade news this week, the U.S. and Australia signed a
deal on Monday that will see up to $8.5 billion invested in
projects to develop and refine metals vital to industries
including defence, advanced manufacturing and the energy
transition. ROI Asia Commodities Columnist Clyde Russell argues
that this deal is far from a game-changer, but it is a decent
first step as the U.S. and its allies seek to reduce their
reliance on China.
On the domestic front, investors, starved of data during the
government shutdown, will finally get some official economic
information today: CPI inflation for September. The consensus
expectation is that it will remain steady at 3.1%
year-over-year.
But, as ROI editor-at-large Mike Dolan writes, markets are
likely to meet the announcement with a shrug, as almost no one
seems to care about inflation anymore.
What matters instead is the job market, or at least that's the
steer Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell gave investors at the
September FOMC meeting. ROI markets columnist Jamie McGeever
argues that the drop in Treasury yields this month - the 10-Year
yield fell below 4% earlier this week - shows that investors are
hearing Powell loud and clear.
Third quarter earnings season continued, with strong reports
from Intel and many other firms, alongside disappointing results
from Netflix and Tesla. Jamie McGeever suggests that maybe, just
maybe, we could be seeing signs that the equity rally is about
to broaden.
Over in energy markets, geopolitics were once again center stage
this week, as President Trump slapped sanctions on two Russian
oil giants, Rosneft and Lukoil on Wednesday, in an effort to
pressure Russian President Vladimir Putin to agree to a
ceasefire deal in Ukraine. ROI Energy Columnist Ron Bousso
argues that the effectiveness of these measures will hinge on
Trump's willingness to enforce secondary sanctions and risk an
energy price spike.
The announcement sent Brent crude prices up over 5% on Thursday,
but this jump may be short-lived, as the global oil market is
widely believed to be oversupplied. Ron Bousso notes that any
selloff should be limited, however, by the uncertainty
surrounding OPEC+ production.
Staying on fossil fuels, ROI Energy Transition Columnist Gavin
Maguire pointed out that natural gas consumption by U.S. LNG
firms looks set to overtake gas use by U.S. households for the
first time in 2025, stoking tensions between the export-oriented
LNG sector and domestic gas consumers.
Over in metals, ROI Columnist Andy Home gives his key takeaways
from the recent London Metal Exchange week. Spoiler alert,
everyone loves Doctor Copper.
And, finally, the most famous metal of all, gold, took a tumble
on Tuesday, with prices dipping the most in five years. Of
course, gold fell from a record-high above $4,300 and is still
up more than 50% this year, so no one needs to pity the poor
gold trader.
As we head into the weekend, check out the ROI team's
recommendations for what you should read, listen to, and watch
to stay informed and ready for the week ahead.
This weekend, we're reading...
CLYDE RUSSELL, ROI Asia Commodities and Energy Columnist: My
suggestion this week is an OECD report on Australia's green iron
potential. It outlines the scale of the opportunity but also the
massive challenge in funding and coordinating such a massive
shift for the world's biggest iron ore producer.
MIKE DOLAN, ROI Financial Markets Editor-at-Large: This
thought-provoking column by Jacob Funk Kirkegaard of the
Peterson Institute considers whether a fiscal crisis in France,
the EU's only nuclear power, might result in transferring
France's nuclear deterrent costs to the EU level.
RON BOUSSO, ROI Energy Columnist: This fascinating Reuters
investigation shows that dark fleet tankers are no longer just
for dodgy Iranian and Russian oil trading. The vessels are also
being used by Mexican drug cartels in a flourishing market of
illegal oil trading and tax evasion.
ANDY HOME, ROI Metals Columnist: My most interesting read of the
week is about the underground marathon that will take place in
Boliden's Garpenberg zinc mine in Sweden. Participants will
endure temperatures of up to 30°C as well as total silence and
will be running in complete darkness with only their head
torches for light.
We're listening to...
GAVIN MAGUIRE, ROI Global Energy Transition Columnist: This is a
fascinating podcast about what's possible with EV battery
recycling. In short, the plan is "to turn a massive wave of
incoming used batteries into a key resource for the grid."
And we're watching...
ANNA SZYMANSKI, ROI Editor-in-Charge: Yes, I did recommend the
Reuters World News vodcast last week, but I'm doing it again
just to make sure you don't miss the new video version of
Reuters flagship podcast.
Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not reflect
the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is
committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
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