(The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a
columnist for Reuters.)
By Mike Dolan
Nov 11 - What matters in U.S. and global markets today
By Mike Dolan, Editor-At-Large, Finance and Markets
Tuesday's tech-led Wall Street jump on a displayed dogged
"buy-the-dip" behavior, but the move has run out of steam into
today's Veterans Day holiday.
With its quarterly results due out next week, the world's
most valuable company Nvidia bounced 6% on Tuesday as the U.S.
Senate passed a key bill to fund government through the end of
January - moving the procedure to the House this week.
The tech sector and megacaps led the S&P500's 1.5% surge
while the Nasdaq rallied more than 2%. AI data analytics firm
Palantir jumped 9% and Tesla climbed 4%.
Still, the moves only reclaimed about two thirds of the 6%
Nasdaq drop and 15% Nvidia swoon seen over the past two
weeks.
And futures have stalled into today's open.
Nvidia-backed CoreWeave's shares dropped more than 7%
overnight after it trimmed its annual revenue forecast, taking
the shine off a strong September quarter driven by demand for AI
cloud services.
And as Japan's SoftBank reported more than a doubling of
quarterly profits to 2.5 trillion yen ($16.6 billion), driven by
valuation gains in its OpenAI holdings, it said it sold the
remainder of its shares in Nvidia for almost $6 billion.
SoftBank has been a repeat investor in Nvidia, selling its
investment before the AI boom took off and then buying the chip
giant's shares again before divesting in October.
More broadly, Japanese government data showed domestic
investors sold significant amounts of foreign stocks last month
to lock in profits from the AI-fuelled rally.
With Treasury markets closed today, the dollar was firmer -
probing six-month highs against the yen after Monday's broadside
from new Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi against Bank of Japan
tightening as she loosened fiscal policy rules more broadly.
In Britain, UK government bond yields and the pound fell sharply
on news that the unemployment rate there jumped to four-year
highs and wage growth slowed - bolstering speculation that the
Bank of England will cut interest rates again next month.
Swiss stock markets and the Swiss franc jumped after U.S.
President Donald Trump said the United States is working with
Switzerland on a deal to lower the 39% tariff rate it faces on
exports, with sources saying the rate is likely to be cut to
15%. Watchmaker stocks jumped 2-4%.
In today's column, I look at whether centrists on the Federal
Reserve's policymaking committee are turning more hawkish and
making the case for a policy pause next month.
Today's Market Minute
* The U.S. Senate on Monday approved a compromise that would
end
the longest government shutdown in U.S. history, breaking a
weeks-long stalemate that has disrupted food benefits for
millions, left hundreds of thousands of federal workers unpaid
and snarled air traffic.
* U.S. President Donald Trump has threatened legal action
against
the BBC for its editing of a speech he made in 2021 on the day
his supporters overran the Capitol, which the British
broadcaster admitted on Monday was an "error of judgement".
* SoftBank Group Chief Executive Masayoshi Son's "all in"
bet on
OpenAI appears to be paying dividends after the ChatGPT-maker's
valuation soared this year, producing a surge in quarterly
profit for the Japanese technology investor.
* The Trump administration scored a surprise win-win this
year, as
Wall Street boomed while the dollar fizzled. But ROI markets
columnist Jamie McGeever argues that a repeat next year is
unlikely as the root of that sweet spot, dollar hedging, may be
missing.
* Oil prices have oscillated in a relatively narrow range in
recent months. While this may be a sweet spot for U.S.
President Donald Trump, it is a 'no man's land' for oil
producers, writes ROI energy columnist Ron Bousso.
Chart of the day
Japanese investors sold significant amounts of foreign
stocks last month to lock in profits from an AI-fuelled rally
amid concerns over stretched valuations and the U.S. government
shutdown. According to data from Japan's Ministry of Finance on
Tuesday, domestic investors withdrew about 1.84 trillion yen
($12.20 billion) from foreign stock markets in October - the
largest net sales for a month since June.
Today's events to watch
* U.S. Veterans Day, bond markets closed
* U.S. NFIB October small business survey (6:00 AM EDT)
* Federal Reserve Board Governor Michael Barr speaks
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Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not reflect
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