LONDON, May 7 (Reuters) - What matters in U.S. and
global markets today
By Mike Dolan, Editor-At-Large, Financial Industry and Financial
Markets
Wall Street's latest stutter seems to have been cut short,
as stock futures welcomed the announcement of upcoming
U.S.-China trade talks and a fresh bout of monetary easing from
the People's Bank of China to boot.
In today's column, I discuss what the Trump administration's
use of "strategic uncertainty" means for the dollar.
Now, onto all of this morning's market news.
Today's Market Minute
* India attacked Pakistan and Pakistani Kashmir on Wednesday,
and Pakistan said it shot down five Indian fighter jets in the
worst fighting in more than two decades between the
nuclear-armed enemies. Indian shares were lower on Wednesday
morning, but had pared their early losses.
* U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and chief trade
negotiator Jamieson Greer will meet China's economic tsar He
Lifeng in Switzerland this weekend for talks that could be the
first step toward resolving a trade war disrupting the global
economy.
* Chinese authorities announced on Wednesday a raft of stimulus
measures, including interest rate cuts and a major liquidity
injection, as Beijing steps up efforts to soften the economic
damage caused by the trade war with the United States.
* The moves in Asian FX markets in recent days have brought a
regional conundrum into sharp focus: how much appreciation can
Asian currencies countenance in the face of U.S. President
Donald Trump's global trade war? Read the analysis from Reuters'
columnist Jamie McGeever.
* Amid all the headlines around the U.S. minerals deal with
Ukraine, Washington has pursued a potentially even more
significant critical metals deal in the Great Lakes region of
Africa. Read the analysis from Reuters' columnist Andy Home.
Trade talks at last
Global stock markets held steady for the most part on
Wednesday, as oil prices rose and gold prices fell following
signs of a potential de-escalation in the U.S.-China trade spat.
U.S. and Chinese officials on Tuesday said Treasury
Secretary Scott Bessent and chief trade negotiator Jamieson
Greer will meet China's top economic official He Lifeng in
Switzerland this weekend.
Investors appear to remain cautious about prospects for any
breakthrough in tariff negotiations, though. The dollar was down
for a fourth session and European stocks dropped.
Meanwhile, China announced various stimulus measures on
Wednesday, including rate cuts, more cash for the banking system
and the expansion of a channel that helps insurance money flow
into stocks. But the big story remains what will happen with
U.S.-China talks this weekend.
All eyes will now turn to the Federal Reserve, which will
release its latest policy decision today. Its assessment of the
still-uncertain trade and inflation picture will be watched
closely, even though almost no one expects any move in interest
rates on Wednesday.
Over in Europe, jitters eased and the euro held steady after
German conservative leader Friedrich Merz was elected chancellor
in a second round of voting on Tuesday, after he failed to
secure a majority in the first attempt.
Geopolitical developments in Asia are jarring somewhat, as
India's military strikes on neighbouring Pakistan have increased
regional tensions. India's rupee fell slightly and stocks in
Pakistan slumped after the heaviest fighting in decades erupted
between the nuclear-armed neighbours.
Check out my column today, where I turn to the U.S. where
the Trump Administration's policy of 'strategic ambiguity'
appears to be having the desired affect on investors.
Chart of the day
China's central bank announced on Wednesday that it will
lower the borrowing cost of its seven-day reverse repurchase
agreements, its benchmark interest rate, by 10 basis points
(bps) to 1.40%, effective May 8. Other interest rates will drop
in line with the key rate.
These announcements came shortly after U.S. and Chinese
officials said the countries will meet in Switzerland this
weekend for talks.
The Chinese economy is already feeling the pain from the
triple-digit U.S. levies, with data last week showing factory
activity contracting in April at the fastest pace in 16 months.
Concerns have been rising over the impact the tariffs would
have on the job market and on the already-strong deflationary
pressures in China as exporters lose their biggest customer.
Today's events to watch
* U.S. Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee
policy decision and press conference from Fed Chair Jerome
Powell
* U.S. March consumer credit
* German Chancellor Friedrich Merz meets French President
Emmanuel Macron in Paris
* Chinese President Xi Jinping visits Moscow
* Bank of England Deputy Governor Sarah Breeden speaks
* US corporate earnings: Walt Disney, Uber, Paycom,
DoorDash, Skyworks, Atmos, Corteva, Axon, Emerson Electric,
Verisk, Fortinet, Bunge, CF, Charles River, Rockwell, Bio-Techne
Texas Pacific Land, Marketaxess, Cencora, Vistra, Dayforce,
Trimble
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