(The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a
columnist for Reuters.)
By Mike Dolan
LONDON, Aug 6 (Reuters) - What matters in U.S. and
global markets today
By Mike Dolan, Editor-At-Large, Finance and Markets
A mix of disappointing results from some major semiconductor
chip names, a service sector hiccup and another slight ebb in
hopes for interest rate cut have caused early week stock market
ebullience go a bit flat.
In the thick of a mostly upbeat earnings season, Wall Street
stocks ended in the red on Tuesday, dented in part by continued
tariff tensions and the ISM's survey showing a flat-lining of
services activity last month. But index futures were back up
marginally ahead of Wednesday's bell.
* Chips stocks were side-swiped as Advanced Micro Devices ( AMD )
reported disappointing data center revenue, a segment
including artificial intelligence chips, causing shares in the
California-based company to slump 4% overnight. Another AI
darling, Super Micro, plunged 17% as it missed
estimates in its battles with larger server makers. Better news
for AI enthusiasts came from ChatGPT maker OpenAI, which is in
early talks about a share sale that could value it at a whopping
$500 billion.
* Despite the dour ISM services reading, Federal Reserve
easing speculation declined slightly, with markets now only
pricing in an 80% chance of a cut next month compared to
essentially 100% at this time yesterday. President Donald Trump
said on Tuesday he will decide on a nominee to fill a coming
vacancy on the Fed's Board by the end of the week and narrowed
the possible replacements for Fed Chair Jerome Powell to a list
of four.
* Meanwhile, the tariff saga continues, with new levies set to
come into effect on Thursday. Trump also said sectoral tariffs
on pharmaceuticals and semiconductors would be announced in the
next week, with a small initial tariff on pharma imports
eventually increasing to 250%. The U.S. standoff with India
looks to be at an impasse, meantime, while Swiss President Karin
Keller-Sutter was set to meet Secretary of State Marco Rubio on
Wednesday to negotiate the severe 39% tariffs it faces.
In today's column, I discuss why the Bank of England's slow and
shallow easing cycle has become the third-longest since World
War Two.
Today's Market Minute
* ChatGPT maker OpenAI is in early-stage discussions about a
stock sale that would allow employees to cash out and could
value the company at about $500 billion, a source familiar with
the matter said.
* Since 2023, India has ramped up efforts to police the
internet, including Elon Musk's X. A Reuters investigation looks
at the behind-the-scenes battle between the world's richest
person and authorities in the world's most populous country.
* The U.S. trade deficit narrowed in June due to a sharp drop in
consumer goods imports, and the trade gap with China shrank to
its lowest point in more than 21 years.
* The divergences that run through the U.S. equity and bond
markets have come into sharp relief in recent days. Find out why
navigating the U.S. markets' split personalities is so
challenging in ROI columnist Jamie McGeever's latest column.
* Exxon Mobil and Chevron's bumper oil and gas output in the
second quarter served as a sobering reminder to their European
rivals of the ferocious challenge the latter face in their
attempts to close the production gap that has expanded in recent
years, writes ROI Energy columnist Ron Bousso.
Chart of the day
Trade data and business surveys are the latest inputs to the
Atlanta Fed's rolling "GDPNow" model estimate, which nudged
higher this week to show annualized real GDP growth running at
2.5% for the third quarter - a modest slowdown from the 3%
recorded for Q2. The U.S. trade deficit narrowed in June to a
two-year low on a sharp drop in consumer goods imports, and the
trade gap with China shrank to its lowest in more than 21 years,
as Trump's tariff campaign starts to have an impact. The Budget
Lab at Yale now estimates the average overall U.S. tariff rate
has jumped to 18.3% - the highest since 1934 - from 2-3% in
January.
Today's events to watch
* New York Federal Reserve's global supply chain pressure
index for July (10 AM EDT)
* Fed Board Governor Lisa Cook, Boston Fed President Susan
Collins and San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly all speak
* U.S. corporate earnings: Walt Disney, AIG, MetLife Paycom,
Global Payments, Corpay, Fortinet, Uber, McDonald's, Airbnb,
DoorDash, Emerson, McKesson, Occidental, Corteva, STERIS, Atmos,
Texas Pacific, Cencora, NRG, Rockwell, Dayforce, CF
Industries
* U.S. Treasury auctions $42 billion of 10-year notes
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Opinions expressed are those of the author. They do not reflect
the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is
committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.
(By Mike Dolan
Editing by Frances Kerry)