(The opinions expressed here are those of the author.)
By Dhara Ranasinghe
LONDON, August 18 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in
U.S. and global markets by Dhara Ranasinghe, European Financial
Markets Editor
After Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin's
gathering in Alaska, it's now Ukraine President Volodymyr
Zelenskiy and European leaders' turn to meet the U.S. President.
They're all gathering on Monday to map out a peace deal to end
the war in Ukraine.
Unsurprisingly, the response from financial markets to Friday's
Alaska summit has been muted, to say the least. Oil prices
, the euro and Ukraine's bonds are little changed.
* The fear (from Europe) is that Trump could try to pressure
Kyiv into accepting a settlement favourable to Moscow. Zelenskiy
has already all but rejected the outline of Putin's proposals,
including for Ukraine to give up the rest of its eastern Donetsk
region, of which it currently controls a quarter. Analysts
reckon a ceasefire remains some way off, meaning geopolitical
tensions remain a potential headwind to otherwise pretty buoyant
world stock markets.
* Markets will likely be on alert for any sign of deterioration
in Trump's further talks with Putin. Especially those that might
prompt the U.S. president to impose secondary tariffs targeting
Russian energy trading, say with India. In an opinion piece
published in Monday's Financial Times, White House trade adviser
Peter Navarro said India's Russian crude buying was funding
Moscow's war in Ukraine and had to stop.
* Trump's meeting with Zelenskiy in Washington is one key
gathering markets have their eye on this week. The other, the
Federal Reserve's annual central bank conference in Jackson
Hole, Wyoming, takes place later this week. Fed chief Jerome
Powell's speech there on Friday is expected to be his
valedictory speech before his term ends next May.
In Mike Dolan's column today, he looks at what could
disturb the eerily calm credit markets.
Today's Market Minute
* Ukraine's Volodymyr Zelenskiy and European leaders will
meet Donald Trump in Washington on Monday to map out a peace
deal amid fears the U.S. president could try to pressure Kyiv
into accepting a settlement favourable to Moscow.
* India aims to slash taxes on small cars and insurance premiums
as part of a sweeping reform of its goods and services tax
(GST), a government source said on Monday, as Prime Minister
Narendra Modi's plan sparked a rally in stock markets.
* Hong Kong's debt-laden developers and their creditors are set
to face intensifying financial pressure as bond maturities are
slated to jump by nearly 70% next year amid falling sales and
valuations for the city's economically crucial property sector.
* China's refiners lifted their processing rates in July, they
are still likely adding to their stockpiles, which will allow
them to trim imports should prices rise to levels they believe
are not justified by market fundamentals.
* News that Chinese battery giant CATL has suspended operations
at its giant Jianxiawo mine has lit a fire under the lithium
market, writes ROI columnist Andy Home.
Chart of the day
Although stock markets across the globe are at or near world
highs, analysts say a ceasefire scenario is not yet priced in.
So if there was any sign of a movement in that direction, risk
assets - especially European shares - would be in a good
position to rally further.
Today's events to watch
* Zelenskiy meets Trump in Washington
* U.S. bills auction