July 25 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian
markets by Alden Bentley in New York
Brace for fallout from a megacap-led wipe out. A rethink of
the earnings picture for hyped up AI and Magnificent seven
stocks turned a run on Alphabet and Tesla into a Wall Street
rout.
Combine that with concerns about Chinese and global growth
that heaped pressure on commodity linked currencies and you have
the makings for the risk-off mood in China's markets, and
Japan's, to continue.
However the November U.S. election plays out there are risks
for Chinese companies. Vice President Kamala Harris has emerged
as the Democratic presidential candidate after President Joe
Biden, 81, ended his re-election bid on Sunday. It is not clear
how what kind of China policy she will favor but she and rival
Republican Donald Trump are expected to take tough stands on
tariffs and Taiwan, as Biden has.
The Democratic National Committee's rules committee agreed
on Wednesday on a plan to formally nominate Harris as soon as
Aug. 1 -- before the party's Aug. 19-22 convention in Chicago --
with Harris picking a running mate by Aug. 7
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq skidded to multi-week lows on
Wednesday after Tesla and Alphabet
disappointed with lackluster earnings and their shares tumbling
12% and 5%, respectively.
The tech-heavy Nasdaq ended 3.6% lower and the S&P
500 fell 2.3%. Other megacaps, Apple (AAPL.O), Microsoft
(MSFT.O), Amazon.com (AMZN.O), Meta Platforms (META.O) and
Nvidia (NVDA.O), took it on the chin, as did small caps,
which enjoyed a brief moment in the sun in recent weeks.
The dollar fell to its lowest in more than two months
against the yen as short-yen carry trades were unwound ahead of
next week's Bank of Japan meeting. That coincides with the July
30-31 FOMC meeting. While the Fed is unlikely to pull the
trigger on easing this month, a scenario in which yield
differentials soon narrow from both sides is being built in.
Until then, the main macro headlines to trade on come on
Thursday, when the first estimate of second quarter U.S. GDP
comes out, and Friday with the release of the Personal
Consumption Expenditure Price Index which the Fed relies on to
gauge inflation.
The Australian and New Zealand dollars
were noted losers because of the economic tie to raw materials.
Oil prices, while up on Wednesday, are near their lowest in a
month and a half and industrial metals like iron ore and copper
hit 3-1/2-month lows on a gloomy outlook for Chinese demand.
Here are key developments that could provide more direction
to markets on Thursday:
- South Korea GDP (Q2 advance)
- Japan service PPI (June)
- U.S. GDP (Q2, advance)