Dec 13 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian
markets.
Asian markets are set to end the week on the defensive,
pressured by rising U.S. bond yields and a firmer dollar, with
investors ready to reduce risk exposure as they ponder the
cross-currents sweeping through the emerging world.
China's latest pledges - to widen the budget deficit, issue
more debt and loosen monetary policy - have generally been
welcomed, but Brazil's surprisingly aggressive interest rate
hike and promise of more to come has had a more mixed impact.
Chinese and Hong Kong stocks bounced strongly on Thursday,
and barring a fall of 1.4% or more on Friday, blue chip Chinese
stocks will register their third weekly rise in a row, a winning
streak not seen since May.
The yuan fell on the stimulus news, as expected, but not by
much. Indeed, going into Friday's session, the onshore yuan is
set to break a remarkable run of 10 consecutive weekly
declines.
Even less surprising, perhaps, was another leg lower in
Chinese bond yields. The 10-year yield is at record lows and is
on course for its biggest weekly fall since 2020.
Wall Street understandably took a breather on Thursday after
the previous day's somewhat surprising surge. The S&P 500 fell
0.5% and is poised for a modest fall on the week, and the Nasdaq
backed off Wednesday's record high above 20,000.
It's still on course for its fourth consecutive weekly rise
though, and remarkably, it has declined in only two weeks out of
the last 14. The AI-driven bull run in U.S. tech shows every
sign of powering on into the year end with Hong Kong's benchmark
tech index is up 3% for the week.
The wider policy and market sentiment thermometer is also
sending mixed signals. The Swiss National Bank delivered a jumbo
rate cut on Thursday, bringing the zero bound into view and
floating the possibility of negative rates, if they are needed.
The European Central Bank cut rates by a more modest 25 basis
points, as expected, but was more cautious in its guidance. And
hot U.S. producer price inflation pushed up Treasury yields,
while punchy jobless claims data stoked concern about the labor
market.
All in all, a very mixed bag, and investors may well be
relieved that the weekend is near.
Asia's economic calendar on Friday is light. The two main
indicators are India's wholesale inflation for November, which
is expected to ease a bit to 2.2% on an annual basis from 2.36%
in October, and Japan's fourth quarter Tankan survey of business
sentiment.
The Australian dollar and Philippine peso could move on
scheduled speeches from RBA Assistant Governor Sarah Hunter and
Philippine central bank governor Eli Remolona, respectively.
Here are key developments that could provide more direction
to markets on Friday:
- Japan Tankan survey (Q4)
- India wholesale inflation (November)
- New Zealand manufacturing PMI (November)