March 14 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian
markets.
A day of consolidation and narrow range-trading across world
stocks on Wednesday gives Asian markets no clear direction on
Thursday, allowing investors to gear up for next week's
potentially seismic Bank of Japan policy meeting.
The main event in Asia's economic calendar on Thursday is the
release of Indian wholesale price inflation. This comes a day
after figures showed annual consumer inflation was marginally
hotter than expected in February, although industrial production
fell short of expectations.
Inflationary pressures, as measured by wholesale prices,
remain muted. The last time annual wholesale price inflation was
above 1% was almost a year ago, and prices were declining
outright between April and October last year.
Economists polled by Reuters expect annual WPI inflation to
inch lower to 0.25%.
Developments in Tokyo, meanwhile, suggest momentum is
building toward the BOJ raising interest rates next Wednesday.
This would end negative interest rate policy that has been in
place for eight years, and would be the first rate hike in 14
years.
Sources have told Reuters that the BOJ will debate raising
rates if a preliminary survey on Friday on big firms' wage
talks, to be released by union umbrella Rengo, is positive.
Sustainable wage growth is seen as a key plank of ensuring
Japan's decades-long battle with deflation is over.
On Wednesday, car giant Toyota Motor agreed to give factory
workers their biggest pay increase in 25 years, heightening
expectations that bumper pay raises will be matched elsewhere,
giving the BOJ the green light to move.
A head of steam appears to be building. Representatives of
government, labor and management held a tripartite meeting on
Wednesday to push wage hikes across the country, and according
to union sources, progress was made.
Japanese stocks fell a mild 0.26% on Wednesday as the
profit-taking from last week's record high continued. It was the
fourth decline out of the last five sessions, suggesting traders
may also be bracing for a BOJ move.
The two-year JGB yield edged back above 0.20%, although the
yen hardly moved.
Meanwhile, fraught U.S.-Sino relations over trade, tech and
spying took another twist on Wednesday after U.S. House of
Representatives passed a bill that would give TikTok's Chinese
owner ByteDance about six months to divest the U.S. assets of
the short-video app, or face a ban.
U.S. President Joe Biden said he wants the Senate to take
give swift approval.
The measure is the latest in a series of moves in Washington to
respond to U.S. national security concerns about China, from
connected vehicles to advanced artificial intelligence chips to
cranes at U.S. ports.
Elsewhere in Asia on Thursday, investors also await retail
sales data from Indonesia, and industrial production and
producer prices from Hong Kong.
Here are key developments that could provide more direction
to markets on Thursday:
- India wholesale price inflation (February)
- Indonesia retail sales (February)
- Hong Kong producer price inflation (February)