July 10 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian
markets.
Is a U.S. interest rate cut coming? If so, when?
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell told Congress on Tuesday
that the U.S. is "no longer an overheated economy," remarks that
suggested the case for rate cuts is strengthening.
Some investors had anticipated the Fed chair, in his testimony
to a Senate banking panel, might do more than he did to
telegraph that a cut was on track for the central bank's
September meeting. Yet, as of late Tuesday, that still appeared
to be the market's broad expectation: Fed Funds futures were
pricing in a nearly 75% chance of a cut in September, according
to CME FedWatch.
More insight may come on Wednesday, when Powell returns to
Capitol Hill to testify before a House of Representatives
committee. And Thursday's consumer price index report is sure to
be closely watched to see if inflation is, in fact, moderating
to the central bank's liking. A surprise spike could throw the
case for rate cuts into doubt.
Markets took Powell's testimony largely in stride. The benchmark
U.S. S&P 500 index and MSCI all-country equity index
were both little changed. The dollar
moved slightly higher, indicating that some investors were
looking for more dovish talk from the Fed chief.
There was sharper stock action in Europe, where indexes were
weighed down by weakness in French stocks as political
uncertainties lingered. Europe's STOXX 600 index fell
0.9%, its biggest one-day drop in nearly a month. France's
benchmark CAC 40 index sank 1.6%, as investors assessed
the political situation following Sunday's legislative election.
Politics threatened to cast a shadow over markets more broadly,
as U.S. President Joe Biden faced some pressure to drop his
re-election bid after his shaky debate performance against
former President Donald Trump.
Meanwhile, the debate over rates was also set to extend to the
Reserve Bank of New Zealand, which meets on Wednesday. The RBNZ
is expected to hold its key cash rate for an eighth straight
meeting and cut rates just once before year-end, according to a
Reuters poll of economists.
Also on Wednesday, producer and consumer price inflation figures
are due in China, which could sway markets. On Tuesday, China's
blue-chip CSI300 index rose 1.2%, lifted by tech
shares.
Here are key developments that could provide more direction
to markets on Wednesday:
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand meeting
- China PPI/CPI (June)
- Fed Chair Powell testifies for second day at Congress