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MORNING BID ASIA-Investors take breather, FX plots thicken
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MORNING BID ASIA-Investors take breather, FX plots thicken
Apr 17, 2024 3:19 PM

April 18 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian

markets.

Amid a flurry of commentary from global financial leaders at the

International Monetary Fund and World Bank Spring meetings in

Washington, and with many markets having undergone huge moves in

recent weeks, investors are taking a bit of a time out.

The relentless bond selling of late reversed on Wednesday

and pushed yields lower, gold flatlined again, oil tumbled 3%

for its biggest fall in over two months, and stocks wobbled.

Whether it's fatigue (gold), short-covering (bonds), worries

about the impact of higher borrowing costs on growth and demand

(stocks and oil), or just seeking refuge from the barrage of

headlines from Washington, investors are trimming back risk.

This is the backdrop to Thursday's market open in Asia,

where the calendar includes Japan's tertiary index of industrial

activity, unemployment from Australia and Hong Kong, and a

speech by Bank of Japan board member Asahi Noguchi.

On the equity front, the correction that appears to be

developing in some quarters gathered momentum on Wednesday,

despite a notable decline in bond yields and the dollar's first

daily loss in seven.

Japan's Nikkei 225 index is down 3.6% this week, on course

for its biggest weekly drop since December 2022. The S&P 500

fell for a fourth day, is on track for its third weekly loss in

a row, and is down 5% since its all-time high last month.

The MSCI Asia ex-Japan index is down year-to-date.

Exchange rates - and by extension trade competitiveness,

restrictions, and tariffs - remain under close scrutiny.

President Joe Biden on Wednesday called for sharply higher

U.S. tariffs on Chinese metal products, duties of up to 25% on

certain steel and aluminum products, in a move that will risk

angering Beijing.

Finance leaders from the United States, Japan and South

Korea, meanwhile, agreed to "consult closely" on FX markets in

their first trilateral meeting on Wednesday, nodding to concern

by Tokyo and Seoul over their currencies' recent sharp declines.

The agreement in their first trilateral meeting came as

receding expectations of a near-term U.S. interest rate cut

pushed the yen to 34-year lows, keeping markets on alert on the

chance of yen-buying intervention by Japanese authorities.

"We will continue to cooperate to promote sustainable

economic growth, financial stability, as well as orderly and

well-functioning financial markets," a joint statement read.

While Japan may not be actively trying to export its way to

prosperity, and the yen's weakness may be justified on relative

economic and interest rate fundamentals, seismic terms of trade

shifts like this in Asia tend not to go unmatched.

Could Asia be sliding towards a 'beggar thy neighbor' wave

of competitive FX depreciation? The trilateral

U.S.-Japanese-South Korean statement shows officials are acutely

aware of the risks.

Here are key developments that could provide more direction

to markets on Thursday:

- IMF/World Bank meetings in Washington

- Australia unemployment (March)

- BOJ's Noguchi speaks

(By Jamie McGeever;)

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