Oct 25 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian
markets.
A day of general calm across world markets on Thursday that saw
the dollar and U.S. bond yields soften and stocks consolidate
bodes well for markets in Asia on Friday as attention focuses on
political and economic events in Japan.
Voters go to the polls in Sunday's general election, and several
recent polls suggest the ruling coalition could lose its
parliamentary majority. From a market perspective, this could
deprive the Bank of Japan the political stability needed to
steer a smooth liftoff from near-zero interest rates.
Tokyo consumer inflation, a leading indicator of nationwide
price trends and the main highlight of Asia's economic calendar
on Friday, could also give the BOJ food for thought ahead of its
policy meeting next week.
Inflation in Tokyo likely undershot the central bank's price
target for the first time in five months, according to a Reuters
poll, coming in at an annual rate of 1.7%. That would follow a
2.0% rise in September and mark the first time the data misses
the BOJ's 2% target since May.
A senior International Monetary Fund official on Thursday said
any further rate hikes in Japan should be conducted at a
"gradual pace," noting that BOJ moves could impact financial
markets of other countries where Japanese investors hold large
positions.
Krishna Srinivasan, the director of the IMF's Asia and Pacific
Department, also said that most Asian central banks have room to
cut rates, as the start of the U.S. easing cycle reduces fears
of an unwelcome weakening of their currencies.
What's more, risks to Asia's economic outlook are tilted to
the downside, he added.
The Japanese yen recovered some ground on Thursday, clocking
its biggest rise in a month and pushing the dollar down to
151.50 yen from Wednesday's three-month high above 153.00.
The yen's recent weakness, however, has lured overseas
investors into Japanese markets. Figures on Thursday showed that
foreigners bought Japanese stocks for a fourth straight week
through Oct. 19, although caution ahead of Sunday's election and
upcoming corporate earnings releases tempered the inflows.
Despite the modest reversal on Thursday, the spike in the
dollar and U.S. bond yields recently to three-month highs has
helped put Asian stocks on course for a third consecutive weekly
loss.
Nor have the yen's recent weakness and foreign investor
inflow prevented Japanese stocks from losing ground, and the
Nikkei goes into Friday's session down more than 2% so far this
week.
Elsewhere, industrial production figures from Singapore are
expected to show a sharp slowdown in September from unusually
strong activity in August. Economists expect year-on-year growth
of 3.5%, down from 21%, which was fastest since 2021 and one of
the strongest of the past 15 years.
Here are key developments that could provide more direction
to markets on Friday:
- Tokyo CPI inflation (October)
- Japan services PPI inflation (September)
- Singapore industrial production (September)