Aug 9 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian
markets.
Asia is set for a positive end to a turbulent week on Friday
after a rip-roaring U.S. equity rally on Thursday, although
Chinese inflation could temper any optimism if the data shows
that the world's second largest economy is still in the clutches
of deflation.
Wall Street's resilience was notable given that U.S. bond
yields rose again after yet another poorly received Treasury
auction, this time 30-year notes. That's two sales this week
that have drawn weak demand, with investors only taking down the
paper in return for higher yields.
But the Nasdaq clocked its best day in six months and the
S&P 500 its best day since November 2022. Broader indices in
Asia and tech in particular should grab the baton and run with
it on Friday.
The MSCI Asia ex-Japan index is currently down 1.6% on the
week, China's blue chip CSI300 index down 1.2%, the Hang Seng
tech index down 0.6% and Japan's Nikkei down 3%. Can they muster
a rally strong enough on Friday to close the week in the green?
It would represent a remarkable turnaround, especially in
Japan where currency- and rates-related volatility earlier in
the week triggered some of the biggest stock market moves on
record.
The U.S. tech shakeout that began on July 11 is losing
steam. The broad S&P Information Technology index and 'FANGS'
index of Big Tech shares both fell around 20% in the three weeks
to Aug. 5 but have rebounded as much as 9% from these lows.
U.S. tech got a boost on Thursday from Meta Platforms'
earnings, and tech stocks in Asia could take their cue next week
from Taiwanese chipmaker TSMC's sales figures on Saturday.
TSMC, the world's largest contract chipmaker and major
supplier to Apple and Nvidia, on Saturday gives its latest
monthly sales update. Sales have been falling in recent months -
to T$207.9 billion in June from T$229.6 billion in May, which
was down from T$236 billion in April.
Indeed, Taiwan's exports rose less than expected in July as
weak demand from China offset record orders from the United
States, which underscored the island's essential role as a
supply hub for the booming artificial intelligence (AI)
industry.
Weak demand from China seems par for the course these days,
and continues to keep inflation in check.
Figures on Friday are expected to show the annual rate of
consumer inflation edged up in July to 0.3% from 0.2%, and the
monthly rate climbed to 0.3% from -0.2%. The annual rate of
producer deflation is expected to have accelerated slightly to
-0.9% from -0.8%.
A positive surprise would be welcome - China's economic data
has been consistently undershooting expectations for months.
Here are key developments that could provide more direction
to Asian markets on Friday:
- China inflation (July)
- Indonesia retail sales (June)
- Malaysia industrial production (June)