Dec 17 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian
markets.
Asian market sentiment is likely to remain subdued on Tuesday
following the release of mixed Chinese economic data the day
before, as investors digest unnerving political events in key
developed economies ahead of several G10 central bank interest
rate decisions later this week.
The resignation of Canada's finance minister and vote of no
confidence in Germany's Chancellor on Monday come on the heels
of a surprise credit rating downgrade for France on Friday.
While not impacting emerging markets directly, these could all
encourage investors to reduce risk exposure ahead of the central
bank policy blitz.
On the other hand, the dollar and U.S. bond yields were very
well contained and U.S. stocks rose sharply again on Monday -
the Nasdaq clocked its 36th closing record high of the year - as
investors anticipate a rate cut from the Federal Reserve on
Wednesday.
The Japanese yen fell for a sixth consecutive day on Monday
to a one-month low through 154.00 per dollar as traders cool on
the prospect of a rate hike from the Bank of Japan this week or
even in January.
Some of Japan's recent economic indicators have been fairly
strong, which on top of the national wage growth settlements
being agreed, would appear to bolster the case for the BOJ
moving sooner rather than later.
On the other hand, Japan's economic surprises index last
week hit its lowest in two and a half years. BOJ officials will
also be nervously eyeing the heating up of U.S.-China trade
tensions and pondering the potential fallout if Beijing allows a
significant depreciation of its currency.
A slim majority of economists in a Reuters poll published on
Friday said the BOJ will keep borrowing costs on hold again this
week. Last month's poll showed a slim majority predicting a
hike.
Elsewhere in Asian currency markets, the South Korean won
sold off again on Monday, as the country's Constitutional Court
began reviewing the impeachment of President Yoon Suk Yeol over
his Dec. 3 martial law proclamation. The process will decide if
he will be removed from office, while investigators plan to
question him this week on criminal charges.
The won is within sight of the low of 1443 per dollar on
Dec. 3, its weakest level in two years. A break below 1445 per
dollar will mark its weakest point since March 2009.
Sentiment towards Chinese assets remains mixed. Official
data from Beijing on Monday showed that foreign institutions cut
holdings in Chinese onshore bonds for the third month in a row.
The official disclosure chimes with recent figures from the
Institute of International Finance, which recorded outflows in
both China's bond and equity markets in November.
Here are key developments that could provide more direction
to markets on Tuesday:
- Hong Kong unemployment (November)
- Singapore trade (November)
- Germany Ifo and ZEW surveys (December)