March 7 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian
markets.
As you were.
Asian markets are set for a positive open on Thursday
following a widespread 'risk on' move on Wednesday, while
investors in the region await trade figures from China and
Australia, and an interest rate decision from Malaysia.
Global stocks and risk assets on Wednesday shrugged off the
previous day's jitters and resumed their climb higher while U.S.
bond yields drifted lower, after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome
Powell kept the door open to interest rate cuts later this year.
If Powell's goal was to play a straight bat in his three
hours of questioning from U.S. House of Representative lawmakers
on Wednesday and avoid any market ructions, he more than met it.
The MSCI Asia ex-Japan index had already risen 0.77% on
Wednesday before Powell spoke, its biggest rise in two weeks.
The dollar slide, lower bond yields and rise on Wall Street
after his testimony should give regional sentiment a further
boost on Thursday.
The main economic indicator in Asia on Thursday is Chinese
trade. Beijing this week said it is aiming for GDP growth this
year of around 5% again, but many analysts are skeptical - the
performance of imports and exports in recent months suggests
trade will not be a major driver.
Export growth likely slowed in the January-February period,
suggesting manufacturers are still struggling for overseas
buyers and in need of further policy support at home.
Data for the January-February period is expected to show
exports grew 1.9% year-on-year in U.S. dollar terms compared
with 2.3% growth in December, according to a Reuters poll, while
import growth accelerated to 1.5% from 0.2%.
Several Asian countries publish their latest foreign
exchange reserves holdings on Thursday. At the last count, the
six jurisdictions - China, Japan, Hong Kong, Malaysia, Indonesia
and Singapore - held a combined $5.55 trillion, nearly half of
the global total.
China and Japan are the world's largest holders with $3.22
trillion and $1.29 trillion, respectively. Changes in FX reserve
holdings are very small, but China's numbers in particular are
always closely watched.
Malaysia's central bank, meanwhile, announces its latest
interest rate decision. Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) is expected
to leave its overnight policy rate (OPR) unchanged at 3.00% and
hold it there until at least 2026 as inflation was expected to
pick up, a Reuters poll found.
Although inflation eased to 1.5% in January, having peaked
at 4.7% in August 2022, economists expect price pressures to
rise in the second half of this year, suggesting a rate cut from
the central bank was unlikely anytime soon.
Here are key developments that could provide more direction
to markets on Thursday:
- China trade (February)
- China, Japan FX reserves (February)
- Malaysia interest rate decision
(By Jamie McGeever;)